Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

4

Braden Schneider

New York Rangers Defense

The 4th-lowest shot rate of 202 defencemen and the 3rd-percentile chance share, in a rookie season at twenty.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22NYR432911+59000258.015:29
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—432911+59000258.015:29

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

43 games, 2 goals and 9 assists at 15:29 a night, plus-5, nine penalty minutes, 25 shots. Nineteenth overall in 2020, his first NHL games, at twenty.

The Finesse Game

2.25 shots per 60 is the 4th-lowest of the 202 defencemen who played forty games. Twenty-five shots in forty-three games, at a 48-foot median with seven per cent from the slot.

0.94 even-strength points per 60 is the 49th percentile — exactly ordinary — and nine per cent of his points came on the power play, where he takes five seconds a night.

41.7 per cent of the expected goals and 42.5 per cent of the attempts are both the 3rd percentile among defencemen. Those are two of the worst shares in the league.

The deployment does not explain them: 50.2 per cent of his end-zone starts came in the attacking end, the 336th of 652 skaters — dead level.

His most common partner was Patrik Nemeth, who has gone to Arizona. The pair took 37.3 per cent of the attempts together across 614 of them; Schneider apart from him was 47.3.

His ice went 23-20 against an expectation of 19.78-27.68 — eight fewer against than the model asked.

The Physical Game

4.69 blocks per 60 is the 68th percentile among defencemen and 5.41 hits the 68th, at 6-3 and 206 pounds in a rookie season.

0.27 penalties taken per 60 is the 9th percentile and nine penalty minutes came out of forty-three games. For a twenty-year-old defenceman that is the most encouraging number in the file.

The Intangibles

22.0 mph is the 56th percentile, 2.2 bursts per 60 the 69th, 8.42 miles per 60 the 47th. 88.2 mph is the 7th percentile for shot speed.

He is 21 and has forty-three NHL games. The shares are terrible and the pair split says most of that was the man beside him, which is the kindest reading the file allows and also the one the numbers support. The discipline, the blocks and the hits are a real third-pair foundation and the shot rate says there is no offence coming.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.21 penalty minutes a game over 43, 10th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “4.69 blocks per 60 is the 68th percentile among defencemen and 5.41 hits the 68th, at 6-3 and 206 pounds in a rookie season.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 636 minutes

Expected goals
41.7%
6th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
42.5%
5th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 20 against. Expected: 19.8 and 27.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
29th
Numbers
6th

The report ranks him 23 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 56 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 43 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
70th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.56 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.17 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.2 mph
27th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 636 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
NYR took 46.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.7% — 5.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 636 minutes at five-on-five — 27th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Patrik Nemeth37.3%47.3%40.4%
Barclay Goodrow41.5%41.7%43.6%
Artemi Panarin45.8%40.1%47.5%

37.3% together, 47.3% for him apart and 40.4% for Nemeth apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

42 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 32 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 71% from beyond forty.