Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

76

Jonny Brodzinski

New York Rangers Center

12 goals on 73 shots at 16.4 per cent, in the tenth season of a career that took eight to start.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17LAK6022+22000170.012:17
2017-18LAK35426+46001537.59:30
2018-19LAK13213020001711.89:55
2019-20SJS30110000050.07:24
2020-21NYR510104000714.311:20
2021-22NYR22112+110000342.910:51
2022-23NYR17112+38000273.79:19
2023-24NYR5761319-38102896.711:08
2024-25NYR5112719+640027316.411:41
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—209272855+13441053228.410:43

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 7 assists in 51 games — 19 points, plus-6, at 11:41 a night on 4 penalty minutes.

43.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 8th percentile, across 509 minutes, with the on-ice goals 20-12 against an expectation of 17.53-22.92. 12 goals on 73 shots at 16.4 per cent is the highest conversion rate on the roster and it arrived on the smallest volume.

The Finesse Game

The shot is the reason he has a job. He releases quickly off a pass and he does not need much room to do it, and 27 goals in 209 career games is a better rate than the ice time suggests.

The shot chart is a distance shooter’s — 27 per cent of attempts from inside 20 feet at a median of 32 — so 16.4 per cent will not repeat. Everything else is ordinary: the skating is fine, the passing is fine, and neither creates anything on its own.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 206 and he does not play heavy. 4 penalty minutes in 51 games is close to the lowest rate on the club, and it is not discipline so much as an absence of engagement.

He does not forecheck hard, he does not win a wall against a defenceman, and he will not be the man in front of the net. In a bottom-six role that is a real limitation, because the job below the top two lines is mostly the job he does not do.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick who played 101 NHL games in his first seven seasons and 108 in the two since.

He is 32, he has been the first man called up in this organisation for five years, and he scores when he is given minutes. That is a genuinely useful thirteenth forward and it is very close to the whole of it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    29.9% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 90th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.08 penalty minutes a game over 51, 1st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck hard, he does not win a wall against a defenceman, and he will not be the man in front of the net.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck hard, he does not win a wall against a defenceman, and he will not be the man in front of the net.”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “he will not be the man in front of the net.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6-0 and 206 and he does not play heavy.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 509 minutes

Expected goals
43.3%
11th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.3%
13th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 20 for, 12 against. Expected: 17.5 and 22.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
2nd
Numbers
11th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 59 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 51 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
61st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.43 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.95 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.3 mph
81st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 509 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NYR took 47.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.3% — 4.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
509 minutes at five-on-five — 17th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Braden Schneider39.7%46.0%47.6%
Sam Carrick39.1%45.3%46.2%
Zac Jones44.2%43.0%48.4%

39.7% together, 46.0% for him apart and 47.6% for Schneider apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

107 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 38 feet. 27% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 30% from beyond forty.