Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

76

Jonny Brodzinski

New York Rangers Center

A fifth-round pick's eighth season, 158 games, and 36 points in all of them.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17LAK6022+22000170.012:17
2017-18LAK35426+46001537.59:30
2018-19LAK13213020001711.89:55
2019-20SJS30110000050.07:24
2020-21NYR510104000714.311:20
2021-22NYR22112+110000342.910:51
2022-23NYR17112+38000273.79:19
2023-24NYR5761319-38102896.711:08
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—158152136+7401032496.010:25

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

57 games, 6 goals and 13 assists for 19 points, 1 on the power play, 8 penalty minutes, 11:08 a night and minus-3. He took 48.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 593 minutes, the 41st percentile, and his ice went 23-27 against an expectation of 20.73-22.10.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and five more conceded than they called for. Nineteen points in fifty-seven games at eleven minutes a night is the best season of a long, patient career.

The Finesse Game

122 attempts at a median of 35 feet with 33 per cent from beyond 40, 89 on goal, converted at 6.7 per cent, which is his career rate almost exactly.

21 career assists in 158 games. He shoots from further out than a fourth-line forward should and the conversion says why it does not work. Thirteen assists in fifty-seven games is the encouraging half.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 206 and does not initiate.

40 career penalty minutes in 158 games is a very low rate. He does not forecheck by force and does not win many walls; he takes the defensive-zone draw and blocks shots.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick in 2013 by Los Angeles, out of Ham Lake, Minnesota, three years at St. Cloud State, eight seasons across three organisations, and 36 points in 158 games.

He is 31 and has spent most of eight professional seasons in the American league. Fifty-seven games on the Presidents’ Trophy winner is the reward for it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    34.4% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.14 penalty minutes a game over 57, 6th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-0 and 206 and does not initiate.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck by force and does not win many walls; he takes the defensive-zone draw and blocks shots.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck by force and does not win many walls; he takes the defensive-zone draw and blocks shots.”

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “He does not forecheck by force and does not win many walls; he takes the defensive-zone draw and blocks shots.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He does not forecheck by force and does not win many walls; he takes the defensive-zone draw and blocks shots.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 593 minutes

Expected goals
48.4%
41st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.1%
48th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 27 against. Expected: 20.7 and 22.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
20th
Numbers
41st

The numbers rank him 21 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 57 games

Top speed
23.2 mph
91st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.89 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.90 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.8 mph
69th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 593 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NYR took 50.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.4% — 1.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 593 minutes at five-on-five — 24th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Will Cuylle52.3%44.6%46.3%
Braden Schneider49.2%47.9%49.2%
K'Andre Miller46.4%49.3%48.6%

52.3% together, 44.6% for him apart and 46.3% for Cuylle apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

122 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 33% from beyond forty.