Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

25

Jonas Brodin

Minnesota Wild Defense

Twenty-three and a half minutes a night, the 6th-percentile hit rate, and 60.3 per cent of the chances when Mathew Dumba was on the bench.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13MIN452911+310100513.923:13
2013-14MIN79811190223007410.823:54
2014-15MIN7131417+218001953.224:10
2015-16MIN68257-520000583.520:25
2016-17MIN6832225+520202853.519:34
2017-18MIN7361521+2330001777.821:36
2018-19MIN8241418-15300121113.620:33
2019-20MIN6922628+15240001031.921:33
2020-21MIN5391423+2181027911.422:26
2021-22MIN7352530+9181011264.023:26
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—68144155199+582008198595.122:03

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 25 assists in seventy-three games at 23:26 a night — the 29th-most of the 202 qualified defencemen. Plus-9, eighteen penalty minutes. Tenth overall in 2011, ten seasons, 681 games.

The Finesse Game

56.1 per cent of the expected goals is the 18th-best of 202 defencemen. His ice went 55-49 against an expectation of 53.66-41.93 — the one Minnesota regular whose goals against came in well above the model, which is worth naming rather than burying.

0.94 even-strength points per 60 is the 49th percentile and 4.42 shots per 60 the 51st, at 4.0 per cent from a 53-foot median. There is no offensive case here and there does not need to be.

0.98 giveaways per 60 is the 5th percentile, second on this club only to Jared Spurgeon.

The pair file is the important part and it is unambiguous. Away from Mathew Dumba, across 976 attempts, Brodin took 60.3 per cent of the chances. Together, across 1,386, they took 53.2. Dumba away from Brodin took 47.5 per cent across 479. Marcus Foligno reached 61.8 per cent with Brodin behind him; Joel Eriksson Ek, 60.5; Jordan Greenway, 61.2.

Every forward on this club was better with Brodin than with anyone else, and Brodin was better without his own partner.

The Physical Game

1.47 hits per 60 is the 6th percentile among defencemen and 0.32 penalties taken per 60 is the 12th, from a man playing the 29th-most minutes of 202. 4.42 blocks per 60 is the 58th.

This is a defenceman who plays the most minutes on a 113-point club and almost never touches anybody. The defending is entirely positional, and every measurement the repo holds either confirms it works or fails to see it at all.

The Intangibles

22.3 mph is the 68th percentile, 1.7 bursts per 60 the 56th, 8.58 miles per 60 the 64th. Middling on every chip reading, which is now the norm for the defencemen who post the best shares.

89.0 mph is the 10th percentile. He does not shoot and the club has never asked him to.

He is 29, signed into a role he has held for a decade, and the most undersold player on a roster full of men who scored more than they should have. He is the reason several of them got to.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    56.1% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 52.5% for his club in the minutes he sat: +3.6, 90th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “1.47 hits per 60 is the 6th percentile among defencemen and 0.32 penalties taken per 60 is the 12th, from a man playing the 29th-most minutes of 202.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “0.98 giveaways per 60 is the 5th percentile, second on this club only to Jared Spurgeon.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,333 minutes

Expected goals
56.1%
90th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.4%
75th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 55 for, 49 against. Expected: 53.7 and 41.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
38th
Numbers
90th

The numbers rank him 52 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 73 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
78th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.67 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.35 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.0 mph
30th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1333 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
MIN took 53.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.1% — 2.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,333 minutes at five-on-five — 91st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Matt Dumba53.2%60.3%47.5%
Kirill Kaprizov57.3%55.6%54.1%
Ryan Hartman58.4%55.1%53.3%

53.2% together, 60.3% for him apart and 47.5% for Dumba apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Dumba behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

142 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 53 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 75% from beyond forty.