Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

J.T. Miller

Vancouver Canucks Center

A hundred and three points at 31, and 441 career penalty minutes.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13NYR26224-78100434.713:31
2013-14NYR30336-618000466.511:27
2014-15NYR58101323+5232039210.912:42
2015-16NYR82222143+104620513516.315:02
2016-17NYR82223456+172123613216.716:22
2017-18NYR/TBL82233558-440110514316.117:01
2018-19TBL75133447+83040410812.014:40
2019-20VAN69274572+114790316516.420:06
2020-21VAN53153146-74331410614.120:58
2021-22VAN80326799+154780620615.521:05
2022-23VAN81325082-760115322314.320:41
2023-24VAN813766103+3258102919419.119:29
2024-25 so far
Career799238401639+67441631148159314.917:27

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 37 goals and 66 assists for 103 points, 10 on the power play, 2 shorthanded, 58 penalty minutes, 19:29 a night and plus-32, with 9 game-winners. He took 51.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,105 minutes, the 62nd percentile, and his ice went 64-38 against an expectation of 46.16-43.96.

Eighteen goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and six goals of goaltending above them. A hundred and three points and 37 goals are both career highs and he is 31.

The Finesse Game

303 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 40 per cent of them from inside twenty and 26 per cent from beyond forty, 193 of those on goal, converted at 19.1 per cent against a career 14.94 across 1,593 shots.

401 career assists and 238 goals in 799 games. He plays a heavy possession game and still takes forty per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet; the puck goes to the middle because he carries it there, and 66 assists says the pass is at least as good as the shot.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 211 and took 58 penalty minutes.

441 career penalty minutes in 799 games. He wins the wall by leaning on people and forechecks like a man forty pounds heavier; the penalties come from finishing every check and arguing about the ones that were not called.

The Intangibles

Fifteenth overall in 2011 by New York, twelve seasons, and Vancouver is his third organisation.

A career plus-67 and 48 game-winners in 799 games. He is 31, he had 99 points in 2021-22 and 103 last season, and he has had 82 or more in three of the last four.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,105 minutes

Expected goals
51.2%
62nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.1%
64th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 64 for, 38 against. Expected: 46.2 and 44.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
100th
Numbers
62nd

The report ranks him 38 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 87 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1105 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
VAN took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.2% — 1.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,105 minutes at five-on-five — 73rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brock Boeser50.4%55.0%50.2%
Quinn Hughes53.3%48.9%56.0%
Filip Hronek51.0%51.4%51.7%

50.4% together, 55.0% for him apart and 50.2% for Boeser apart. He was better away from Boeser, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Boeser.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

303 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 37 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.