This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

J.T. Miller

A hundred and three points at 31, and 441 career penalty minutes.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2012-13	NYR	26	2	2	4	-7	8	1	0	0	43	4.7	13:31
2013-14	NYR	30	3	3	6	-6	18	0	0	0	46	6.5	11:27
2014-15	NYR	58	10	13	23	+5	23	2	0	3	92	10.9	12:42
2015-16	NYR	82	22	21	43	+10	46	2	0	5	135	16.3	15:02
2016-17	NYR	82	22	34	56	+17	21	2	3	6	132	16.7	16:22
2017-18	NYR/TBL	82	23	35	58	-4	40	11	0	5	143	16.1	17:01
2018-19	TBL	75	13	34	47	+8	30	4	0	4	108	12.0	14:40
2019-20	VAN	69	27	45	72	+11	47	9	0	3	165	16.4	20:06
2020-21	VAN	53	15	31	46	-7	43	3	1	4	106	14.1	20:58
2021-22	VAN	80	32	67	99	+15	47	8	0	6	206	15.5	21:05
2022-23	VAN	81	32	50	82	-7	60	11	5	3	223	14.3	20:41
2023-24	VAN	81	37	66	103	+32	58	10	2	9	194	19.1	19:29
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	799	238	401	639	+67	441	63	11	48	1593	14.9	17:27

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 37 goals and 66 assists for 103 points, 10 on the power play, 2 shorthanded, 58 penalty minutes, 19:29 a night and plus-32, with 9 game-winners. He took 51.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,105 minutes, the 62nd percentile, and his ice went 64-38 against an expectation of 46.16-43.96.

Eighteen goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and six goals of goaltending above them. A hundred and three points and 37 goals are both career highs and he is 31.

The Finesse Game

303 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 40 per cent of them from inside twenty and 26 per cent from beyond forty, 193 of those on goal, converted at 19.1 per cent against a career 14.94 across 1,593 shots.

401 career assists and 238 goals in 799 games. He plays a heavy possession game and still takes forty per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet; the puck goes to the middle because he carries it there, and 66 assists says the pass is at least as good as the shot.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 211 and took 58 penalty minutes.

441 career penalty minutes in 799 games. He wins the wall by leaning on people and forechecks like a man forty pounds heavier; the penalties come from finishing every check and arguing about the ones that were not called.

The Intangibles

Fifteenth overall in 2011 by New York, twelve seasons, and Vancouver is his third organisation.

A career plus-67 and 48 game-winners in 799 games. He is 31, he had 99 points in 2021-22 and 103 last season, and he has had 82 or more in three of the last four.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line
“He wins the wall by leaning on people and forechecks like a man forty pounds heavier; the penalties come from finishing every check and arguing about the ones that were not called.”
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“He plays a heavy possession game and still takes forty per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet; the puck goes to the middle because he carries it there, and 66 assists says the pass is at least as good as the shot.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,105 minutes

Expected goals: 51.2%; 62nd pct
Shot attempts: 51.1%; 64th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 64 for, 38 against. Expected: 46.2 and 44.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

100th

Numbers

62nd

The report ranks him 38 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 87 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 81 games

Top speed: 23.0 mph; 88th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.83 a game
Distance: 2.89 miles a game
Hardest shot: 97.5 mph; 97th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1105 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: VAN took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.2% — 1.4 below the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,105 minutes at five-on-five — 73rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Brock Boeser	50.4%	55.0%	50.2%
Quinn Hughes	53.3%	48.9%	56.0%
Filip Hronek	51.0%	51.4%	51.7%

50.4% together, 55.0% for him apart and 50.2% for Boeser apart. He was better away from Boeser, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Boeser.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

303 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 37 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.