Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

J.T. Miller

New York Rangers Center

70 points across two clubs and a return to the organisation that drafted him fourteen years ago.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13NYR26224-78100434.713:31
2013-14NYR30336-618000466.511:27
2014-15NYR58101323+5232039210.912:42
2015-16NYR82222143+104620513516.315:02
2016-17NYR82223456+172123613216.716:22
2017-18NYR/TBL82233558-440110514316.117:01
2018-19TBL75133447+83040410812.014:40
2019-20VAN69274572+114790316516.420:06
2020-21VAN53153146-74331410614.120:58
2021-22VAN80326799+154780620615.521:05
2022-23VAN81325082-760115322314.320:41
2023-24VAN813766103+3258102919419.119:29
2024-25VAN/NYR72224870-65550213716.118:12
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—871260449709+61496681150173015.017:31

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

22 goals and 48 assists in 72 games between Vancouver and New York — 70 points, minus-6, at 18:12 a night with 55 penalty minutes.

50.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 54th percentile, across 907 minutes, with the on-ice goals 44-38 against an even expectation. He was traded in January to the club that drafted him in 2011 and produced at the same rate on both sides of it.

The Finesse Game

He handles the puck at pace and makes his living below the goal line, where he holds it under pressure and waits for a second man to arrive. 449 career assists is the evidence and 48 in a 72-game season says nothing has come off it.

The shot is genuine and the shot chart is the reason he keeps scoring: 37 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet at a median of 29, and 16.1 per cent is a finishing rate a distance shooter does not post. He goes to the net and he arrives with the puck.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 211, and he is difficult and he means to be. He finishes checks, he wins the wall, and 55 penalty minutes in 72 games is the receipt for a game played permanently on the edge of one.

The edge is also the liability and it always has been. He argues, he retaliates, and the second penalty of a sequence is regularly his. On a club that finished 18th at killing them, that is not a free trait.

The Intangibles

Drafted 15th overall here in 2011, traded to Tampa at 24, to Vancouver at 26, made himself a 100-point centre there, and came back at 31.

871 games and 709 points, and a reputation as a difficult man in a room that followed him out of two organisations. He is the most competitive player on this roster and the one most likely to cost it a goal by being so, and both halves are the reason he was acquired.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “he holds it under pressure and waits for a second man to arrive. 449 career assists is the evidence and 48 in a 72-game season says nothing has come off it.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He goes to the net and he arrives with the puck.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He finishes checks, he wins the wall, and 55 penalty minutes in 72 games is the receipt for a game played permanently on the edge of one.”

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “6-0 and 211, and he is difficult and he means to be.”

  • retaliatesa strength· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He argues, he retaliates, and the second penalty of a sequence is regularly his.”

  • leadershiphe lacks it· the room, and who holds it

    “871 games and 709 points, and a reputation as a difficult man in a room that followed him out of two organisations.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 907 minutes

Expected goals
50.1%
54th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.5%
58th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 44 for, 38 against. Expected: 34.9 and 34.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
91st
Numbers
54th

The report ranks him 37 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 72 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
55th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.33 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.77 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
98.2 mph
99th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with VAN · 533 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NYR took 47.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.1% — 2.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
907 minutes at five-on-five — 47th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brock Boeser54.4%47.2%43.6%
Quinn Hughes55.9%47.2%53.8%
Mika Zibanejad56.1%48.3%46.7%

54.4% together, 47.2% for him apart and 43.6% for Boeser apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

210 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 22 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.