Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

J.T. Miller

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

J.T. Miller

New York Rangers Center #10

53 points, and the worst plus-minus in this book.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13NYR26224-78100434.713:31
2013-14NYR30336-618000466.511:27
2014-15NYR58101323+5232039210.912:42
2015-16NYR82222143+104620513516.315:02
2016-17NYR82223456+172123613216.716:22
2017-18NYR/TBL82233558-440110514316.117:01
2018-19TBL75133447+83040410812.014:40
2019-20VAN69274572+114790316516.420:06
2020-21VAN53153146-74331410614.120:58
2021-22VAN80326799+154780620615.521:05
2022-23VAN81325082-760115322314.320:41
2023-24VAN813766103+3258102919419.119:29
2024-25VAN/NYR72224870-65550213716.118:12
2025-26NYR68173653-303360514411.820:09
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—939277485762+31529741155187414.817:42

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

17 goals and 36 assists in 68 games — 53 points, minus-30, at 20:09 a night with 33 penalty minutes. His 939th career game.

The Finesse Game

The shot selection is excellent. 51 per cent of his unblocked attempts came from inside 20 feet, median 20, and 18 goals came out of 228 tries.

36 assists in 68 games is a first-line playmaking rate. 762 points in 939 games is a genuine career.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 211, and he plays a hard, verbal, agitating game that has followed him through 3 organisations. 33 penalty minutes is lower than his reputation.

He goes to the net front and he protects pucks below the goal line.

The Intangibles

The minus-30 is among the 10 worst figures in this edition and it is close to meaningless. At 5-on-5 he was on for 38 goals for and 32 against, with the chances 40.6 to 39.7 in his favour and an on-ice rate in the 68th percentile.

So a plus-6 at 5-on-5 and a minus-30 overall. That gap is the penalty kill — New York finished 23rd — and empty nets, and it is one of the cleanest illustrations in this book of why the column should be ignored.

11 points in his last 10. He is 33 and returns to the club that drafted him. Nothing about last season says he has declined.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    5 of his 17 goals late or in overtime, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 968 minutes

Expected goals
50.5%
59th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.5%
52nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 50 against. Expected: 40.6 and 39.7.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
59th

The report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 68 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
76th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.16 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.02 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
102.6 mph
100th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

11

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 8 assists, 20 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 968 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
NYR took 48.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.5% — 2.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 968 minutes at five-on-five — 57th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Vladislav Gavrikov52.0%49.0%48.3%
Conor Sheary53.2%48.7%44.5%
Mika Zibanejad52.1%49.7%49.5%

52.0% together, 49.0% for him apart and 48.3% for Gavrikov apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

228 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 52% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.