Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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43

Quinn Hughes

Vancouver Canucks Defense

Ninety-two points and 75 assists — more of each than any other defenceman in this edition — at 5-10 and 180 pounds.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19VAN50330200060.018:05
2019-20VAN6884553-10223021266.321:53
2020-21VAN5633841-2422000983.122:48
2021-22VAN7686068+10280011505.325:15
2022-23VAN7876976+15342001544.525:40
2023-24VAN82177592+38385021998.524:41
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—36543290333+2914610057335.924:07

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 17 goals and 75 assists for 92 points, 5 on the power play, 38 penalty minutes, 24:41 a night and plus-38, with 2 game-winners. He took 55.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,571 minutes, the 87th percentile, and his ice went 92-55 against an expectation of 72.21-59.03.

Twenty goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and four goals of goaltending above them. Ninety-two goals for in 1,571 minutes of five-on-five hockey is the largest total of anybody on this club, and the plus-38 is the fourth-largest figure in this edition.

The Finesse Game

296 attempts at a median of 46 feet with 64 per cent of them from beyond forty and 4 per cent from inside twenty, 197 of those on goal, converted at 8.5 per cent against a career 5.87 across 733 shots.

290 career assists against 43 goals in 365 games. He beats the forecheck by turning away from it rather than through it and then carries the puck the length of the ice himself; seventy-five assists is the most of any defenceman in this edition and thirty-two more than his own partner managed on the same pairing.

The Physical Game

He is 5-10 and 180 and took 38 penalty minutes.

146 career penalty minutes in 365 games. There is no defending by contact here and there never will be; the puck is taken back by getting to it first and the man is beaten by not being where he is looking.

The Intangibles

Seventh overall in 2018 by Vancouver, six seasons, one organisation, and 333 points in 365 games.

A career plus-29 in 365 games and 92 points in the last of them. He is 25, he played all 82 games at twenty-four and three-quarter minutes a night, and he had more points and more assists than any other defenceman in this edition.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    55.0% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 50.8% for his club in the minutes he sat: +4.2, 90th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    19:10 a game at five-on-five, 93rd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 96th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He beats the forecheck by turning away from it rather than through it and then carries the puck the length of the ice himself; seventy-five assists is the most of any defenceman in this edition and thirty-two more than his own partner managed on the same pairing.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “There is no defending by contact here and there never will be; the puck is taken back by getting to it first and the man is beaten by not being where he is looking.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “A career plus-29 in 365 games and 92 points in the last of them.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,571 minutes

Expected goals
55%
87th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
57.3%
95th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 92 for, 55 against. Expected: 72.2 and 59.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
95th
Numbers
87th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
82nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
1.50 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.53 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.2 mph
73rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1571 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
VAN took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.0% — 2.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,571 minutes at five-on-five — 99th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Filip Hronek53.8%59.7%42.4%
Brock Boeser52.6%56.6%47.6%
J.T. Miller53.3%56.0%48.9%

53.8% together, 59.7% for him apart and 42.4% for Hronek apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Hronek behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

296 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 40 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 64% from beyond forty.