Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

37

J.T. Compher

Detroit Red Wings Left Wing

Fifty-six per cent of his shots from inside twenty feet and a 17.59 per cent conversion — the most net-front forward on the club.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17COL21325041013010.014:56
2017-18COL69131023-29204231319.916:00
2018-19COL66161632-83143311813.617:29
2019-20COL67112031+91810310610.416:45
2020-21COL4810818+10191024721.314:13
2021-22COL70181533+62541010217.616:19
2022-23COL82173552+83350315411.020:32
2023-24DET77192948-53452010817.619:23
2024-25 so far
Career500107135242-91842581579613.417:23

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Seventy-seven games, 19 goals and 29 assists for 48 points with 5 on the power play and 2 shorthanded, 19:23 a night and minus-5. He converted 17.59 per cent of 108 shots against a career 13.44 across 796.

He took 44.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,064 minutes, the 15th percentile, and his ice went 46-50 against an expectation of 36.47-46.34. Nineteen and a half minutes a night against the other club’s best line, and a chance share to match the assignment.

The Finesse Game

He shoots from a median of 16 feet with 56 per cent of his attempts from inside 20 — the most net-front profile of any forward on the roster. Every goal is scored from somewhere unpleasant.

One hundred and thirty-five career assists in 500 games. The passing is a third-line rate and the shot is not a weapon; the 17.59 per cent conversion is a function of where he shoots from rather than of how well he shoots.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 191 and goes to the front of the net against men much larger. Thirty-four penalty minutes in 77 games is a moderate rate.

He kills penalties and has 8 career shorthanded goals in 500 games, and he takes the defensive-zone draw that starts the shift. On a club whose penalty kill is 28th in the league he is the best part of it.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2013 out of Northbrook, three years at Michigan, eight seasons and 500 games, and a Stanley Cup in Colorado.

He is 29 and signed to be a second-line centre on a club that needed one. Forty-eight points at nineteen minutes a night is roughly what that is worth.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,064 minutes

Expected goals
44%
16th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.6%
11th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 46 for, 50 against. Expected: 36.5 and 46.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
55th
Numbers
16th

The report ranks him 39 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1064 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
DET took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.0% — 1.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,064 minutes at five-on-five — 67th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Moritz Seider43.6%44.3%43.5%
Alex DeBrincat45.1%43.4%51.3%
Ben Chiarot39.9%46.2%46.3%

43.6% together, 44.3% for him apart and 43.5% for Seider apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

140 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 56% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.