This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Alex DeBrincat
Detroit Red Wings Right Wing
Five foot eight, 237 shots, 214 goals in 532 games, and 74 career power-play goals.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | CHI | 82 | 28 | 24 | 52 | +6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 15.5 | 14:48 |
| 2018-19 | CHI | 82 | 41 | 35 | 76 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 220 | 18.6 | 17:42 |
| 2019-20 | CHI | 70 | 18 | 27 | 45 | -10 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 207 | 8.7 | 17:30 |
| 2020-21 | CHI | 52 | 32 | 24 | 56 | +3 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 155 | 20.6 | 20:32 |
| 2021-22 | CHI | 82 | 41 | 37 | 78 | -13 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 270 | 15.2 | 20:51 |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 82 | 27 | 39 | 66 | -31 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 263 | 10.3 | 19:00 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 82 | 27 | 40 | 67 | +1 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 11.4 | 17:54 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 532 | 214 | 226 | 440 | -44 | 146 | 74 | 1 | 28 | 1533 | 14.0 | 18:13 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
All 82 games, 27 goals and 40 assists for 67 points with 11 on the power play, 17:54 a night and plus-1. He took 237 shots — more than anybody on the club — and converted 11.39 per cent against a career 13.96 across 1,533.
He took 48.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,173 minutes, the 40th percentile, and his ice went 50-60 against an expectation of 47.75-50.72. Ten extra goals against, which on this club is a description of the defending around him.
The Finesse Game
The release is the reason a 5-8 winger has 214 goals in 532 games. It leaves early, from a median of 27 feet, and the goaltender does not get a look at the wind-up because there is not one.
Two hundred and twenty-six career assists and 40 last season. He is a better passer than his reputation and the seam pass from the far circle is the play the power play is built to produce.
Seventy-four career power-play goals in 532 games is a remarkable total and it is where a great deal of his value sits.
The Physical Game
He is 5-8 and 180 and does not play a physical game at all. Thirty-four penalty minutes in 82 games is a low rate.
He does not win the wall and does not forecheck hard. Twenty-eight per cent of his attempts come from inside 20 feet, which for a man this size is more courage than it looks.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick in 2016 out of Farmington Hills, Michigan, who was passed over in the first round for being 5-8 and has 440 points in 532 games since. He is playing at home.
A career minus-44 across seven seasons in Chicago, Ottawa and Detroit is a number about clubs. The 214 goals are his.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,173 minutes
- Expected goals
- 48.5%
- 41st pct
- Shot attempts
- 48.2%
- 37th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 60 against. Expected: 47.8 and 50.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 24 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 1173 minutes at five-on-five
- Dylan Larkin43%
- Patrick Kane42%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- DET took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.5% — 2.6 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,173 minutes at five-on-five — 80th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 52.5% | 44.8% | 48.9% |
| Patrick Kane | 48.1% | 48.7% | 44.0% |
| Lucas Raymond | 50.7% | 47.0% | 47.5% |
52.5% together, 44.8% for him apart and 48.9% for Larkin apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
343 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.