This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Alex DeBrincat
Detroit Red Wings Right Wing
Five foot eight, 237 shots, 214 goals in 532 games, and 74 career power-play goals.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | CHI | 82 | 28 | 24 | 52 | +6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 15.5 | 14:48 |
| 2018-19 | CHI | 82 | 41 | 35 | 76 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 220 | 18.6 | 17:42 |
| 2019-20 | CHI | 70 | 18 | 27 | 45 | -10 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 207 | 8.7 | 17:30 |
| 2020-21 | CHI | 52 | 32 | 24 | 56 | +3 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 155 | 20.6 | 20:32 |
| 2021-22 | CHI | 82 | 41 | 37 | 78 | -13 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 270 | 15.2 | 20:51 |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 82 | 27 | 39 | 66 | -31 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 263 | 10.3 | 19:00 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 82 | 27 | 40 | 67 | +1 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 11.4 | 17:54 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 532 | 214 | 226 | 440 | -44 | 146 | 74 | 1 | 28 | 1533 | 14.0 | 18:13 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
All 82 games, 27 goals and 40 assists for 67 points with 11 on the power play, 17:54 a night and plus-1. He took 237 shots — more than anybody on the club — and converted 11.39 per cent against a career 13.96 across 1,533.
He took 49.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,173 minutes, the 47th percentile, and his ice went 64-51 against an expectation of 49.73-51.13. Ten extra goals against, which on this club is a description of the defending around him.
The Finesse Game
The release is the reason a 5-8 winger has 214 goals in 532 games. It leaves early, from a median of 27 feet, and the goaltender does not get a look at the wind-up because there is not one.
Two hundred and twenty-six career assists and 40 last season. He is a better passer than his reputation and the seam pass from the far circle is the play the power play is built to produce.
Seventy-four career power-play goals in 532 games is a remarkable total and it is where a great deal of his value sits.
The Physical Game
He is 5-8 and 180 and does not play a physical game at all. Thirty-four penalty minutes in 82 games is a low rate.
He does not win the wall and does not forecheck hard. Twenty-eight per cent of his attempts come from inside 20 feet, which for a man this size is more courage than it looks.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick in 2016 out of Farmington Hills, Michigan, who was passed over in the first round for being 5-8 and has 440 points in 532 games since. He is playing at home.
A career minus-44 across seven seasons in Chicago, Ottawa and Detroit is a number about clubs. The 214 goals are his.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“He does not win the wall and does not forecheck hard.”
“He is a better passer than his reputation and the seam pass from the far circle is the play the power play is built to produce.”
“He is 5-8 and 180 and does not play a physical game at all.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,173 minutes
- Expected goals
- 49.3%
- 47th pct
- Shot attempts
- 48.7%
- 43rd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 64 for, 51 against. Expected: 49.7 and 51.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games
- Top speed
- 21.7 mph
- 25th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.07 a game
- Distance
- 2.94 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 89.3 mph
- 66th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 1173 minutes at five-on-five
- Dylan Larkin43%
- Patrick Kane42%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- DET took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.3% — 3.4 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,173 minutes at five-on-five — 80th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 52.5% | 46.3% | 47.5% |
| Patrick Kane | 49.9% | 48.9% | 44.8% |
| Lucas Raymond | 51.2% | 48.1% | 46.0% |
52.5% together, 46.3% for him apart and 47.5% for Larkin apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
343 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.