Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

8

Ben Chiarot

Detroit Red Wings Defense

Four hundred and fifty-eight penalty minutes in 642 games, nineteen minutes a night at 33, and a career minus-44.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14WPG1000-300000—10:47
2014-15WPG40268+522000375.417:01
2015-16WPG701910-943000741.414:27
2016-17WPG5921012+233000494.115:19
2017-18WPG5721214+1532000573.515:17
2018-19WPG7851520+6620011114.518:37
2019-20MTL6991221+5610031306.923:08
2020-21MTL41167-1650100811.221:47
2021-22MTL/FLA7491726-14482011436.322:51
2022-23DET7651419-31510001104.520:36
2023-24DET7751520-4560011074.719:47
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—64241116157-444583068994.619:00

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Seventy-seven games, 5 goals and 15 assists, 56 penalty minutes, 19:47 a night and minus-4. He took 44.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,322 minutes, the 19th percentile, and his ice went 61-75 against an expectation of 47.65-59.23.

The goals against arrived exactly as the chances predicted and eleven more went in the other way, which is the club’s shooting rather than his defending. Nineteen and three-quarter minutes a night at 33 on the second pair.

The Finesse Game

One hundred and seven shots at a median of 51 feet with 68 per cent from beyond 40, and 5 went in. Forty-one goals in 642 career games at 4.56 per cent.

One hundred and sixteen career assists. The first pass is the simple one and it is made quickly. He does not carry the puck out and does not try to — the skating has never been there and at 33 it is the limitation that decides which minutes he can play.

The Physical Game

Four hundred and fifty-eight penalty minutes in 642 games is the record of a defenceman who plays the game in the corners and the crease. He punishes people along the wall at 6-3 and 222 and he does it every shift.

He blocks shots and clears the front of his own net, and he is genuinely hard to move once he has position. Fifty-six penalty minutes in 77 games is a moderate rate for a man who plays this way and a fair share of it comes after being beaten to a spot.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick in 2009 out of Hamilton, eleven seasons and 642 games across Winnipeg, Montreal, Florida and Detroit, and a run to a final in Montreal.

He is 33 on a club whose defence is a 23-year-old and four men over thirty. A career minus-44 says what kind of clubs those have been.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He punishes people along the wall at 6-3 and 222 and he does it every shift.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He blocks shots and clears the front of his own net, and he is genuinely hard to move once he has position.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “Fifty-six penalty minutes in 77 games is a moderate rate for a man who plays this way and a fair share of it comes after being beaten to a spot.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,322 minutes

Expected goals
44.6%
19th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.4%
10th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 75 against. Expected: 47.6 and 59.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
11th
Numbers
19th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 77 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
67th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.55 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.75 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.5 mph
68th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1322 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
DET took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.6% — 1.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,322 minutes at five-on-five — 91st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jeff Petry44.7%44.5%52.5%
Alex DeBrincat51.5%41.5%48.3%
Lucas Raymond45.4%44.2%49.6%

44.7% together, 44.5% for him apart and 52.5% for Petry apart. Petry was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

147 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 68% from beyond forty.