Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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59

Egor Chinakhov

Columbus Blue Jackets Right Wing

Sixteen goals in fifty-three games, and six penalty minutes all year.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22CBJ627714-2716101987.112:30
2022-23CBJ304913-610100449.113:15
2023-24CBJ53161329-3610311014.515:10
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—145272956-363230425210.713:38

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

16 goals and 13 assists in 53 games — 29 points at 15:10 a night, minus-3, with 1 power-play goal and 3 game-winners on 110 shots, converting at 14.55 per cent, and 6 penalty minutes.

Six penalty minutes in fifty-three games is one of the lowest rates in this edition.

48.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 671 minutes, the 43rd percentile. His ice went 33-28 against an expectation of 28.29-29.79 — five goals scored above expectation.

The Finesse Game

110 attempts at a median of 37 feet, with 35 per cent from beyond 40 and 19 per cent from inside 20, converting at 14.55 per cent — a very high rate from that distance and the reason for sixteen goals in fifty-three games.

The release is heavy and it goes in from range, which is a rare and valuable profile and the whole of why he is in the lineup.

13 assists. He is a shooter and the passing is ordinary.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 203. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall, and the game is played away from contact.

6 penalty minutes in 53 games and 32 in 145 for his career. He does not agitate and he does not retaliate, and there is almost nothing unnecessary in the season.

The Intangibles

Twenty-first overall in 2020, out of Omsk, and 145 games and 56 points at 23 across three interrupted seasons.

Sixteen goals in fifty-three games is a twenty-five-goal rate and he has never played seventy in a season. On a club with nine top-ten picks and no scoring, a first-round winger who converts at 14.55 per cent from thirty-seven feet is worth more attention than he gets.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    34.5% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.11 penalty minutes a game over 53, 4th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “**He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall**, and the game is played away from contact.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “**He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall**, and the game is played away from contact.”

  • agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He does not agitate and he does not retaliate, and there is almost nothing unnecessary in the season.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not agitate and he does not retaliate, and there is almost nothing unnecessary in the season.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “13 assists. He is a shooter and the passing is ordinary.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 671 minutes

Expected goals
48.7%
44th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.8%
44th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 28 against. Expected: 28.3 and 29.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
24th
Numbers
44th

The numbers rank him 20 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 53 games

Top speed
23.4 mph
95th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
3.89 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.65 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
98.0 mph
98th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 671 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CBJ took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.7% — 2.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 671 minutes at five-on-five — 30th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kirill Marchenko47.8%49.5%45.3%
Dmitri Voronkov51.3%46.6%48.7%
Zach Werenski45.7%50.5%48.6%

47.8% together, 49.5% for him apart and 45.3% for Marchenko apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

171 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 31 feet. 20% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 35% from beyond forty.