Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

59

Egor Chinakhov

Columbus Blue Jackets Right Wing

The 3rd-lowest share of offensive-zone time among the forwards the tracking covers, and a minus-27 in 62 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22CBJ627714-2716101987.112:30
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—627714-2716101987.112:30

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 7 assists in 62 games — 14 points at 12:30 a night, minus-27, with 16 penalty minutes.

41.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 698 minutes, the 4th percentile among forwards. His ice went 23-48 against an expectation of 24.41-34.27 — fourteen more goals against than the chances promised.

Minus-27 in 62 games as a 21-year-old rookie, on a club that finished 28th in goals against.

The Finesse Game

7.59 shots per 60 is the 56th percentile among forwards and 7.1 per cent went in, the 13th. His top shot speed was 97.2 mph, the 94th percentile among forwards.

30 per cent of his shots came from the slot, the 2nd percentile, on a median distance of 35 feet at the 99th. He has a hard shot he takes from too far away, and 98 attempts produced seven goals.

1.12 even-strength points per 60 is the 12th percentile. Nothing about the first season worked at five-on-five.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 203, 3.87 hits and 1.24 blocks per 60, the 50th and 26th percentiles among forwards.

37.0 per cent of his even-strength time was spent in the offensive zone — the 3rd-lowest of the 365 forwards the tracking covers. That is a startling deployment for a scoring winger and it is the single fact that explains the rest of the page: he started shift after shift in his own end, and he is 21.

10.09 miles per 60 is the 88th percentile among forwards. The legs are there.

The Intangibles

Twenty-first overall in 2020, and 62 NHL games at 21 after two seasons in the KHL.

He arrived as a scorer and spent his first NHL year defending, badly, in a role nobody would have chosen for him. Nothing here measures whether that was a judgment about his defence or a consequence of the club having nobody else, and the difference matters more to his second season than any number on this page.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    35.5% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • defensively-responsiblehe lacks it· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “fourteen more goals against than the chances promised”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 698 minutes

Expected goals
41.6%
6th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.3%
32nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 48 against. Expected: 24.4 and 34.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
6th

The two rank him within 11 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 53 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 62 games

Top speed
22.7 mph
77th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.77 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.10 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
97.2 mph
96th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 698 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
CBJ took 44.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.6% — 3.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 698 minutes at five-on-five — 32nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Cole Sillinger45.0%39.3%44.9%
Andrew Peeke42.3%41.2%44.0%
Vladislav Gavrikov39.9%42.6%46.5%

45.0% together, 39.3% for him apart and 44.9% for Sillinger apart. He was worse away from Sillinger, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Sillinger did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

141 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 22% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 35% from beyond forty.