Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

59

Egor Chinakhov

Columbus Blue Jackets Right Wing

15 points in 30 games, a back injury, and a trade request that has been public for a year.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22CBJ627714-2716101987.112:30
2022-23CBJ304913-610100449.113:15
2023-24CBJ53161329-3610311014.515:10
2024-25CBJ307815-642016810.315:43
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—175343771-423650532010.613:59

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 8 assists in 30 games for 15 points, minus-6, on 15:43 a night.

51.0 per cent at five-on-five, the 62nd percentile, over 394 minutes. 68 shots in 30 games is a good volume; 10.3 per cent conversion is ordinary.

The Finesse Game

The shot is genuinely good — a quick, heavy release he can get away in stride, and the reason he was a first-round pick.

39 per cent of his attempts came from beyond 40 feet, which is the problem: he shoots from the perimeter and does not go and get anything. 8 assists in 30 games says the playmaking is not a second option.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 203, and he does not play to it. He does not forecheck with force, does not win pucks on the wall, and avoids the interior.

4 penalty minutes in 30 games. The back injury has now cost him significant time in two consecutive seasons and is the reason a 24-year-old with real tools has 30 games to be judged on.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, four seasons of stop-start availability, and a publicly requested trade after a disagreement with the coaching staff.

That is a difficult set of facts at 24. The shot is real enough that some club will take the chance; the club that has him has now had four years to make it work and has not.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    39.8% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 100th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck with force, does not win pucks on the wall, and avoids the interior.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck with force, does not win pucks on the wall, and avoids the interior.”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He does not forecheck with force, does not win pucks on the wall, and avoids the interior.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “8 assists in 30 games says the playmaking is not a second option.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 394 minutes

Expected goals
51%
63rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53%
83rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 16 for, 16 against. Expected: 17.6 and 16.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
25th
Numbers
63rd

The numbers rank him 38 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 30 games

Top speed
23.1 mph
86th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
3.57 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.73 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
96.3 mph
98th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 394 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CBJ took 48.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.0% — 2.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
394 minutes at five-on-five — 11th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Zach Werenski57.3%46.5%53.0%
Kirill Marchenko61.5%44.1%51.8%
Ivan Provorov51.8%50.5%46.0%

57.3% together, 46.5% for him apart and 53.0% for Werenski apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

103 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 28 feet. 17% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 39% from beyond forty.