Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

47

Declan Chisholm

Minnesota Wild Defense

Thirty-one games at 16:31, the highest chance share on the club, and the goals went the other way.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22WPG2000+1000040.012:57
2023-24WPG/MIN31369-7182002910.316:31
2024-25 so far
Career33369-618200339.116:18

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

31 games, 3 goals and 6 assists for 9 points, 2 on the power play, 18 penalty minutes, 16:31 a night and minus-7. He took 56.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 436 minutes, the 92nd percentile, and his ice went 12-18 against an expectation of 17.38-13.59.

Five goals of scoring that did not arrive and four more conceded than the chances called for. That is the highest chance share on this roster, and his ice still went 12-18, which in 436 minutes is mostly noise.

The Finesse Game

45 attempts at a median of 53 feet with 71 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 10.3 per cent.

Six assists in 31 games and two power-play goals. He skates and he passes, which on a blue line built of size and position is the thing it does not otherwise have. Nine points in thirty-one games at 24 is the shape of a puck-moving third-pair defenceman.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 205 and defends with his feet, taking the puck rather than the man.

18 penalty minutes in 31 games at sixteen and a half a night is a real rate for a player this size. He does not clear the crease and he does not win many walls.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick in 2018 out of Bowmanville, two seasons, and 9 points in 33 games.

He is 24 and Winnipeg let him go on waivers. A 92nd-percentile chance share in a third of a season is a small sample and a real one, and this club’s blue line is old enough behind the top four to need him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 436 minutes

Expected goals
56.1%
92nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.2%
65th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 18 against. Expected: 17.4 and 13.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
48th
Numbers
92nd

The numbers rank him 44 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 416 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
MIN took 51.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.1% — 4.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
436 minutes at five-on-five — 14th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jon Merrill53.3%57.2%50.2%
Marco Rossi62.9%52.6%51.6%
Kirill Kaprizov62.1%52.6%54.8%

53.3% together, 57.2% for him apart and 50.2% for Merrill apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Merrill behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

45 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 42 feet. 9% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 71% from beyond forty.