Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

27

Eetu Luostarinen

Florida Panthers Center

The 32nd-fewest shots per 60 of the 393 qualified forwards, and the 27th-most ground covered of the 365 the tracking follows.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20CAR8011-2000090.09:59
2020-21FLA44358-1112001348.813:08
2021-22FLA7891726+1120248410.713:26
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—130122335-12240251279.413:07

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 17 assists in 78 games — 26 points and a plus-1 at 13:26 a night, the 28th percentile among forwards — with 12 penalty minutes. 1:53 a night short-handed is the 88th percentile.

55.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,051 minutes, the 85th percentile, on a club that took 56.5 as a team.

The Finesse Game

4.81 shots per 60 is the 32nd-fewest of the 393 qualified forwards. Eighty-four shots in seventy-eight games. 63 per cent of them came from the slot, the 88th percentile, at a median of 20 feet — the right places, almost never.

Nine goals on 84 shots is 10.7 per cent, the 42nd percentile, and 1.48 even-strength points per 60 is the 31st. 0:05 a night on the power play, and no power-play goals in his career.

2.18 takeaways per 60 is the 83rd percentile against 1.55 giveaways at the 51st — a genuinely good ledger from a third-line winger.

85.6 mph is the 20th percentile. The shot is soft and it is not the tool.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 191. 5.90 hits per 60 is the 70th percentile among forwards and 2.63 blocks is the 85th — a real forechecking and penalty-killing profile at thirteen minutes a night.

10.24 miles per 60 is the 27th-most of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, against a 22.1 mph top speed at the 32nd percentile and 4.4 bursts over 20 mph per 60 at the 41st. He covers an enormous amount of ground and never goes fast, which is the same measured shape Anton Lundell has and the reason both of them kill penalties.

0.34 penalties taken per 60 is the 14th percentile — twelve minutes in seventy-eight games, and drawn minus taken at plus-0.46, the 84th. On a club whose fourth-liner took ninety-two penalty minutes, that is worth naming.

The Intangibles

Forty-second overall in 2017, the second round, and 130 NHL games at 24 with 35 points.

Two seasons of forty-four and seventy-eight games, and the points have gone from 8 to 26. A third-line winger who kills penalties, forechecks, wins the puck and does not shoot is a specific and undervalued job, and the chance share says he does it on a club that never has to defend.

With Radko Gudas behind him he took 60.4 per cent of the chances over 538 attempts. Every number on this page is flattered by the club, and the takeaway rate and the discipline are the two least likely to be.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.15 penalty minutes a game over 78, 9th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He covers an enormous amount of ground and never goes fast”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “a real forechecking and penalty-killing profile at thirteen minutes a night”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 896 minutes

Expected goals
55.4%
88th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54.9%
87th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 33 against. Expected: 42.0 and 33.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
43rd
Numbers
88th

The numbers rank him 45 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 59 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 78 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
50th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.97 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.29 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.6 mph
43rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 896 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
FLA took 56.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.4% — 1.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 896 minutes at five-on-five — 49th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Patric Hornqvist59.3%52.5%58.7%
Ryan Lomberg58.3%53.5%53.2%
MacKenzie Weegar55.1%55.5%58.6%

59.3% together, 52.5% for him apart and 58.7% for Hornqvist apart. He was worse away from Hornqvist, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Hornqvist did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

108 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 50% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.