Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

94

Ryan Lomberg

Florida Panthers Left Wing

The most penalties drawn per 60 of all 393 qualified forwards, the 5th-most taken, and 92 penalty minutes at 5-9.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18CGY701101500050.06:15
2018-19CGY400001700010.06:59
2020-21FLA34224-267000474.39:43
2021-22FLA559918+492001919.911:24
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—100111223+21910011447.610:17

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 9 assists in 55 games — 18 points and a plus-4 at 11:24 a night, the 8th percentile among forwards — with 92 penalty minutes.

56.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 627 minutes, the 88th percentile, and 57.1 per cent of the attempts, the 94th. On a club that took 56.5 per cent as a team, a fourth-liner posting that is the club and not the man.

The Finesse Game

8.70 shots per 60 is the 72nd percentile among forwards — a real rate at eleven minutes — and nine goals on 91 shots is 9.9 per cent, the 36th.

Not one of his eighteen points came on the power play, off 0:01 a night. He has no power-play goals in 100 NHL games.

83.5 mph is the 33rd-softest recorded shot of the 365 qualified forwards. 0.86 giveaways per 60 is the 10th percentile — he does not hold the puck long enough to lose it.

The Physical Game

5-9 and 184, and the file is one column.

2.49 penalties drawn per 60 is the most of all 393 qualified forwards. Nobody in the league was fouled more often per minute of ice. 2.30 taken per 60 is the 5th-most. Ninety-two penalty minutes in fifty-five games, at eleven a night. The net is plus-0.19, which is the striking part: he is in more penalties than anybody in hockey and comes out slightly ahead.

11.19 hits per 60 is the 92nd percentile among forwards and 0.67 blocks is the 3rd — he initiates and does not defend.

22.9 mph is the 79th percentile and 9.6 bursts over 20 mph per 60 is the 85th. He is quick, and at 5-9 and 184 pounds that is most of how a man plays this way and survives.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, and 100 NHL games at 27 with 23 points and 191 penalty minutes.

Nobody drafted him and he has made a hundred NHL games out of being the man other teams cannot ignore, which is a job that has been disappearing for fifteen years and has not disappeared yet.

Four seasons and never more than fifty-five games. The role is the twelfth forward on a club that wins a great deal, and the penalties-drawn figure is the reason a Presidents’ Trophy team keeps one.

What nothing here measures is whether the ninety-two minutes cost more than the 2.49 earns. The net says slightly not. Fifty-five games is a small sample to settle it on.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • agitatora strength· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “he is in more penalties than anybody in hockey and comes out slightly ahead”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “he initiates and does not defend”

  • undraftedpresent and ordinary· arrived without a pick attached

    “Nobody drafted him and he has made a hundred NHL games out of being the man other teams cannot ignore”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 577 minutes

Expected goals
56.4%
91st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
57.1%
95th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 21 against. Expected: 26.6 and 20.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
33rd
Numbers
91st

The numbers rank him 58 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 55 games

Top speed
22.9 mph
86th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.82 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.85 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.5 mph
32nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 577 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
FLA took 56.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.4% — 0.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 577 minutes at five-on-five — 24th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Eetu Luostarinen58.3%53.2%53.5%
Patric Hornqvist60.0%52.2%58.4%
Brandon Montour48.2%60.4%56.4%

58.3% together, 53.2% for him apart and 53.5% for Luostarinen apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

121 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.