This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
MacKenzie Weegar
Calgary Flames Defense
A seventh-round pick who played 23:22 a night at 58.0 per cent of the chances — the 98th percentile among defencemen.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | FLA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 17:27 |
| 2017-18 | FLA | 60 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 3.5 | 14:34 |
| 2018-19 | FLA | 64 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -3 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 79 | 5.1 | 16:58 |
| 2019-20 | FLA | 45 | 7 | 11 | 18 | +6 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 9.1 | 20:07 |
| 2020-21 | FLA | 54 | 6 | 30 | 36 | +29 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 101 | 5.9 | 22:07 |
| 2021-22 | FLA | 80 | 8 | 36 | 44 | +40 | 81 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 203 | 3.9 | 23:22 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 306 | 27 | 94 | 121 | +77 | 259 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 521 | 5.2 | 19:33 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
8 goals and 36 assists in 80 games for Florida — 44 points at 23:22 a night, plus-40, with 81 penalty minutes. He arrived here in July.
58.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,534 minutes, the 98th percentile among defencemen, and 57.7 per cent of the shot attempts, also the 98th. His ice went 85-64 against an expectation of 85.8-62.21 — the goals landed almost exactly where the chances said they would.
Florida scored 340 goals and finished 1st in the league with 122 points, taking 56.5 per cent of the chances at five-on-five — the highest share in hockey. Every figure above was earned in the best offensive environment in the league and has to be read that way.
The Finesse Game
1.47 even-strength points per 60 is the 91st percentile among defencemen and 6.51 shots per 60 is the 90th. He is a genuine top-pair offensive defenceman and nobody outside Florida had noticed.
2.37 takeaways per 60 is the 98th percentile among defencemen. That is the figure that travels: taking the puck away is a stick and a read, not a system.
2.73 giveaways per 60 is the 93rd percentile and counts against him — he carries, and carrying costs.
The Physical Game
6-0 and 206, 5.74 hits and 5.01 blocks per 60, both near the 74th percentile among defencemen. He is not big and he plays as though he has not noticed.
2:46 a night shorthanded is the 90th percentile among defencemen, and his drawn-minus-taken of minus-0.58 is the 12th percentile — 81 penalty minutes is a lot for a defenceman with this much of the puck.
45.7 per cent of his even-strength time was in the offensive zone, the 96th percentile. That is what a Florida defenceman’s shift looked like.
The Intangibles
Two hundred and sixth overall in 2013, seventh round, and 306 NHL games at 28 with a career plus-77.
He arrives at the same time as Jonathan Huberdeau and from the same club, and the two of them are what Calgary got for Matthew Tkachuk. The number that matters here is 58.0 per cent over 1,534 minutes, and the only real question is how much of it belonged to Aaron Ekblad and a 340-goal team.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
80 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- sheltered· is started in the attacking end
59% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 94th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
“2.37 takeaways per 60 is the 98th percentile among defencemen.”
“2:46 a night shorthanded is the 90th percentile among defencemen”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,534 minutes
- Expected goals
- 58%
- 96th pct
- Shot attempts
- 57.7%
- 96th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 85 for, 64 against. Expected: 85.8 and 62.2.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 80 games
- Top speed
- 21.9 mph
- 65th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.88 a game
- Distance
- 3.44 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 91.2 mph
- 43rd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 90.4
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 with FLA · 1534 minutes at five-on-five
- Aaron Ekblad64%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- FLA took 56.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 58.0% — 1.5 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- First pair, 1,534 minutes at five-on-five — 99th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ekblad | 58.3% | 57.4% | 65.9% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 64.9% | 54.7% | 54.5% |
| Aleksander Barkov | 64.3% | 55.3% | 52.3% |
58.3% together, 57.4% for him apart and 65.9% for Ekblad apart. Ekblad was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
265 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 31 feet. 11% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 66% from beyond forty.