Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

2

Brian Dumoulin

Los Angeles Kings Defense

80 games and 22 points at 33, and a left shot brought in to replace a better one.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14PIT6011+1400030.019:14
2014-15PIT810102000425.015:40
2015-16PIT7901616+11140001010.018:53
2016-17PIT7011415014000781.320:33
2017-18PIT8051318-5300011024.920:37
2018-19PIT7632023+3120000993.021:02
2019-20PIT28178+1710010352.921:03
2020-21PIT4141014+1812000508.022:21
2021-22PIT7631518+2424000913.321:49
2022-23PIT8212425-416000821.220:38
2023-24SEA8061016+320001698.717:01
2024-25ANA/NJD8031922-114001694.319:33
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—70628149177+951800137833.620:07

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 19 assists in 80 games for 22 points, minus-1, on 19:33 a night between Anaheim and New Jersey.

69 shots and 3 goals. 19 assists at 19 minutes a night is a career-typical return, and 80 games at 33 is the useful part.

The Finesse Game

Limited and reliable. The first pass is clean and quick, he does not panic under a forecheck, and he does not attempt anything that could go wrong.

There is no offensive game and there has not been across thirteen seasons. 22 points is close to his career high.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 215, and he defends with position and reach rather than force. He boxes out in front, blocks shots, and rarely hits.

14 penalty minutes over 80 games is exceptional and reflects a defenceman who is almost never out of position.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, four organisations, two Cups in Pittsburgh, and a decade of being the quiet half of a good pairing.

At 34 the projection is a third-pair defenceman for 70 games. Los Angeles lost Gavrikov and has replaced him with two men in their thirties, which is a downgrade the structure will have to absorb.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.17 penalty minutes a game over 80, 6th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “he defends with position and reach rather than force”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He boxes out in front, blocks shots, and rarely hits.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He boxes out in front”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “rarely hits”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “14 penalty minutes over 80 games is exceptional and reflects a defenceman who is almost never out of position.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,291 minutes

Expected goals
43.2%
10th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.3%
13th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 51 against. Expected: 44.4 and 58.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
25th
Numbers
10th

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
22.7 mph
86th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.31 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.63 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
82.1 mph
12th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with ANA · 1038 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NJD took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.2% — 7.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
1,291 minutes at five-on-five — 91st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Drew Helleson38.4%45.0%40.2%
Ryan Strome41.8%43.6%49.0%
Troy Terry46.4%42.2%49.5%

38.4% together, 45.0% for him apart and 40.2% for Helleson apart. He was better away from Helleson, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Helleson.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

104 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 31 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 63% from beyond forty.