Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

29

Vince Dunn

Seattle Kraken Defense

39 points in 62 games at 22 minutes a night, and 76 per cent of his shot attempts from beyond 40 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18STL7551924+1202011383.617:14
2018-19STL78122335+14453041508.017:32
2019-20STL7191423+15274011386.516:16
2020-21STL4361420-818200738.219:15
2021-22SEA7372835-21632001215.820:41
2022-23SEA81145064+28550021499.423:40
2023-24SEA59113546+8784001209.223:05
2024-25SEA62112839-3332031378.022:05
2025-26 so far
Career54275211286+343391901110267.319:56

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 28 assists in 62 games — 39 points at 22:05 a night, minus-3, with 33 penalty minutes and 3 game-winners. He missed a quarter of the season.

48.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 36th percentile. His ice went 47-45 against an expectation of 44.17-46.97, which is a top-pair defenceman whose results were slightly better than the chances on both sides.

The Finesse Game

137 attempts at a median of 53 feet with 76 per cent from beyond 40 and 5 per cent from inside 20 — a point shot, and 11 goals from it at an 8.0 per cent rate that is high for that distribution.

28 assists in 62 games is the best rate of any defenceman on the club. He is the man the breakout runs through: he retrieves under pressure, he escapes the first forechecker by turning, and the outlet pass is quick and accurate.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 200 and he is not a physical defenceman. He does not clear his crease and he does not win a battle against a heavy forward.

33 penalty minutes in 62 games at twenty-two minutes a night is a moderate rate. He defends by skating and by stick position, and the club pairs him with size for exactly that reason.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick of St. Louis in 2015 who won a Stanley Cup there at 22 and was left unprotected in the expansion draft two years later.

542 games and 286 points. He is 29, he has been the club’s best offensive defenceman since it existed, and the games played have gone 81, 70 and 62 in three seasons.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,071 minutes

Expected goals
48.5%
36th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.8%
62nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 45 against. Expected: 44.2 and 47.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
36th

The report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1071 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
SEA took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.5% — 1.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,071 minutes at five-on-five — 71st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Adam Larsson47.7%52.4%42.1%
Jaden Schwartz45.6%49.8%48.6%
Matty Beniers46.9%49.2%49.2%

47.7% together, 52.4% for him apart and 42.1% for Larsson apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Larsson behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

184 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 42 feet. 5% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.