This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Vince Dunn

39 points in 62 games at 22 minutes a night, and 76 per cent of his shot attempts from beyond 40 feet.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2017-18	STL	75	5	19	24	+1	20	2	0	1	138	3.6	17:14
2018-19	STL	78	12	23	35	+14	45	3	0	4	150	8.0	17:32
2019-20	STL	71	9	14	23	+15	27	4	0	1	138	6.5	16:16
2020-21	STL	43	6	14	20	-8	18	2	0	0	73	8.2	19:15
2021-22	SEA	73	7	28	35	-21	63	2	0	0	121	5.8	20:41
2022-23	SEA	81	14	50	64	+28	55	0	0	2	149	9.4	23:40
2023-24	SEA	59	11	35	46	+8	78	4	0	0	120	9.2	23:05
2024-25	SEA	62	11	28	39	-3	33	2	0	3	137	8.0	22:05
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	542	75	211	286	+34	339	19	0	11	1026	7.3	19:56

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 28 assists in 62 games — 39 points at 22:05 a night, minus-3, with 33 penalty minutes and 3 game-winners. He missed a quarter of the season.

48.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 36th percentile. His ice went 60-54 against an expectation of 46.05-48.25, which is a top-pair defenceman whose results were slightly better than the chances on both sides.

The Finesse Game

137 attempts at a median of 53 feet with 76 per cent from beyond 40 and 5 per cent from inside 20 — a point shot, and 11 goals from it at an 8.0 per cent rate that is high for that distribution.

28 assists in 62 games is the best rate of any defenceman on the club. He is the man the breakout runs through: he retrieves under pressure, he escapes the first forechecker by turning, and the outlet pass is quick and accurate.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 200 and he is not a physical defenceman. He does not clear his crease and he does not win a battle against a heavy forward.

33 penalty minutes in 62 games at twenty-two minutes a night is a moderate rate. He defends by skating and by stick position, and the club pairs him with size for exactly that reason.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick of St. Louis in 2015 who won a Stanley Cup there at 22 and was left unprotected in the expansion draft two years later.

542 games and 286 points. He is 29, he has been the club’s best offensive defenceman since it existed, and the games played have gone 81, 70 and 62 in three seasons.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range
6 of 140 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 4.3%, 90th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it
transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control
“He is the man the breakout runs through: he retrieves under pressure, he escapes the first forechecker by turning, and the outlet pass is quick and accurate.”
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“**28 assists in 62 games is the best rate of any defenceman on the club.**”
clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net
“He does not clear his crease and he does not win a battle against a heavy forward.”
defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens
“He defends by skating and by stick position, and the club pairs him with size for exactly that reason.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,071 minutes

Expected goals: 48.8%; 43rd pct
Shot attempts: 50.9%; 63rd pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 60 for, 54 against. Expected: 46.0 and 48.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

66th

Numbers

43rd

The report ranks him 23 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 62 games

Top speed: 21.4 mph; 39th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.69 a game
Distance: 3.12 miles a game
Hardest shot: 90.7 mph; 50th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1071 minutes at five-on-five

Adam Larsson83%
Brandon Montour12%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: SEA took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.8% — 1.6 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second pair, 1,071 minutes at five-on-five — 71st percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Adam Larsson	48.8%	49.1%	42.5%
Jaden Schwartz	46.3%	50.1%	47.6%
Matty Beniers	50.6%	47.9%	49.0%

48.8% together, 49.1% for him apart and 42.5% for Larsson apart. Larsson was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Larsson than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

184 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 42 feet. 5% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.