Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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14

Drew Helleson

Anaheim Ducks Defense

A 40.4 per cent chance share — the 2nd percentile in the league — and a plus-6 to hide it.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23ANA310102000425.013:39
2024-25ANA564913+647001636.316:21
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—595914+649001677.516:13

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 9 assists in 56 games for 13 points, plus-6, on 16:21 a night.

40.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 2nd percentile among all skaters in the league. His on-ice goals were 35-26 against an expected 24-38, which is 9 goals of goaltending turning the worst chance share on the roster into a positive rating. The plus-6 is a fiction.

The Finesse Game

Limited. 63 shots in 56 games with 75 per cent of them from beyond 40 feet, and a first pass that is functional rather than quick.

He is a right-shot defenceman who can move a puck out of his own end when nobody is pressuring him, and the margin between that and being pressured is where the season went.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 208, and willing. He is the one man on this blue line under 30 who will clear a crease, and 47 penalty minutes in 56 games is the cost of playing that way and of being beaten often enough to reach.

The frame is right for a defensive defenceman. The feet are the problem.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, four years at Boston College, and a first real NHL season at 24 in an environment that would flatter nobody.

The honest projection is a third-pair right shot, and the club needs to be careful about the plus-6: it is the single clearest example in this edition of a rating that says the opposite of what happened.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range

    4 of 68 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 5.9%, 97th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He is the one man on this blue line under 30 who will clear a crease”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “47 penalty minutes in 56 games is the cost of playing that way and of being beaten often enough to reach”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He is a right-shot defenceman who can move a puck out of his own end when nobody is pressuring him, and the margin between that and being pressured is where the season went.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 798 minutes

Expected goals
39.4%
2nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.5%
7th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 26 against. Expected: 24.4 and 37.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
9th
Numbers
2nd

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 56 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
73rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.30 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.24 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.2 mph
19th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 798 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
ANA took 44.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 39.4% — 5.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 798 minutes at five-on-five — 36th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brian Dumoulin38.4%40.2%45.0%
Mason McTavish38.2%40.0%46.1%
Pavel Mintyukov40.0%39.2%43.9%

38.4% together, 40.2% for him apart and 45.0% for Dumoulin apart. Dumoulin was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

91 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 62 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 75% from beyond forty.