Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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37

Andrei Svechnikov

Carolina Hurricanes Right Wing

Eight game-winners in fifty-nine games, second overall in 2018, and fifteen goals missing from his ice.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19CAR8220173706200318910.614:39
2019-20CAR68243761+95460518313.116:44
2020-21CAR55152742+14440114710.217:32
2021-22CAR78303969+197990524912.017:16
2022-23CAR64233255+67150420511.218:03
2023-24CAR59193352+135850814413.216:59
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—406131185316+4836829026111711.716:46

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

19 goals and 33 assists in 59 games — 52 points at 16:59 a night, plus-13, with 5 power-play goals and 8 game-winners on 144 shots, converting at 13.19 per cent, and 58 penalty minutes.

Eight game-winning goals in fifty-nine games is an extraordinary rate and he missed twenty-three games returning from a torn knee ligament.

55.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 809 minutes, the 90th percentile. His ice went 37-26 against an expectation of 41.93-33.62 — fifteen goals of scoring missing and fifteen fewer conceded.

The Finesse Game

144 attempts at a median of 29 feet, with 34 per cent from inside 20 and 25 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 13.19 per cent.

33 assists in 59 games is the number that has changed. He came into the league as a shooter and is now a distributor as much as one — 185 career assists against 131 goals in 406 games — and he holds the puck through a check and finds the man arriving late.

The hands in traffic are very good and the shot is heavy without being quick.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 200, and he plays hard. He forechecks first, he finishes his checks, and he wins pucks below the goal line against defencemen.

58 penalty minutes in 59 games and 368 in 406 for his career is the highest rate on this club — a first-line winger with almost a minute a game — and he retaliates. On a club with the second-best penalty kill in the league that is affordable and it is still the largest total here.

The Intangibles

Second overall in 2018, out of Barnaul, and 406 games and 316 points at 24, all of them here.

He tore a knee ligament in March 2023 and this was the season back from it. Fifty-two points in fifty-nine games at 24, with eight game-winners, from a man returning from a reconstructed knee, is a better season than the counting line suggests, and the availability is now the whole question.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “**6-3 and 200, and he plays hard.** He forechecks first, he finishes his checks, and he wins pucks below the goal line against defencemen.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “**6-3 and 200, and he plays hard.** He forechecks first, he finishes his checks, and he wins pucks below the goal line against defencemen.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “**6-3 and 200, and he plays hard.** He forechecks first, he finishes his checks, and he wins pucks below the goal line against defencemen.”

  • retaliatesa strength· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “**58 penalty minutes in 59 games and 368 in 406 for his career** is the highest rate on this club — a first-line winger with almost a minute a game — and **he retaliates.**”

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “**33 assists in 59 games is the number that has changed.** He came into the league as a shooter and is now a distributor as much as one — **185 career assists against 131 goals in 406 games** — and he holds the puck through a check and finds the man arriving late.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 809 minutes

Expected goals
55.5%
90th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
59.2%
98th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 26 against. Expected: 41.9 and 33.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
90th
Numbers
90th

The two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 59 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
62nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.20 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.72 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.3 mph
78th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 809 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CAR took 56.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.5% — 1.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 809 minutes at five-on-five — 40th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Sebastian Aho55.5%55.5%54.4%
Teuvo Teravainen57.3%54.2%54.3%
Jaccob Slavin55.7%55.4%58.4%

55.5% together, 55.5% for him apart and 54.4% for Aho apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

224 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.