Photo by Benjamin Reed, CC0

Andrei Svechnikov

31 goals, and the first season in a while that looked like the 2nd overall pick.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2018-19	CAR	82	20	17	37	0	62	0	0	3	189	10.6	14:39
2019-20	CAR	68	24	37	61	+9	54	6	0	5	183	13.1	16:44
2020-21	CAR	55	15	27	42	+1	44	4	0	1	147	10.2	17:32
2021-22	CAR	78	30	39	69	+19	79	9	0	5	249	12.0	17:16
2022-23	CAR	64	23	32	55	+6	71	5	0	4	205	11.2	18:03
2023-24	CAR	59	19	33	52	+13	58	5	0	8	144	13.2	16:59
2024-25	CAR	72	20	28	48	-8	59	10	0	2	180	11.1	17:07
2025-26	CAR	79	31	39	70	+1	66	12	0	3	203	15.3	16:59
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	557	182	252	434	+41	493	51	0	31	1500	12.1	16:51

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

31 goals and 39 assists in 79 games — 70 points, plus-1, at 16:59 a night, with 12 power-play goals. 11 points in his last 10 games, 6 of them goals.

The Finesse Game

Big, strong, and skilled in a combination that is rarer than it sounds. He protects pucks below the goal line with his back to a defenceman and then finds a man, and the hands in tight are genuinely good for a player his size.

The shooting is well judged: 322 unblocked attempts, 35 per cent from inside 20 feet, median 28, and 34 goals. He is a volume shooter who is also getting to the middle, which is the combination that produces 30.

The Physical Game

6-3, 200, and he uses it. 66 penalty minutes, a willingness to finish checks and to be unpleasant in front of the net. On a club whose top 6 is otherwise small, he is the one who makes room.

The Intangibles

55.3 per cent of the expected goals, 89th percentile, and 61.0 per cent of the shot attempts, 99th.

He was the second pick in 2018 and there were three or four seasons where the production sat below what that implied. 182 goals in 557 games is now a perfectly respectable career, and last season was the best of it.

He is 26 and the only player in Carolina’s top 6 who can play the heavy game. If this club is going to survive a tight series, a good deal of it runs through whether he can drag the small forwards through it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
79 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,032 minutes

Expected goals: 55.3%; 89th pct
Shot attempts: 61%; 99th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 47 against. Expected: 59.2 and 47.7.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

89th

Numbers

89th

The two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 79 games

Top speed: 23.1 mph; 87th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.78 a game
Distance: 2.65 miles a game
Hardest shot: 96.1 mph; 98th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 6 goals, 5 assists, 29 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1032 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: CAR took 55.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.3% — 0.4 below the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,032 minutes at five-on-five — 64th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Sebastian Aho	57.4%	48.3%	52.2%
Seth Jarvis	55.6%	55.0%	57.4%
Sean Walker	58.3%	53.5%	56.0%

57.4% together, 48.3% for him apart and 52.2% for Aho apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

322 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 34 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.