This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
William Carrier
Carolina Hurricanes Left Wing
43 games, 11 points, and a fourth-line winger who is very hard to play against when he is on the ice at all.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | BUF | 41 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 10.0 | 9:00 |
| 2017-18 | VGK | 37 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 1.9 | 8:50 |
| 2018-19 | VGK | 54 | 8 | 1 | 9 | -4 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 85 | 9.4 | 9:57 |
| 2019-20 | VGK | 71 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 99 | 7.1 | 9:52 |
| 2020-21 | VGK | 52 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 9.2 | 10:25 |
| 2021-22 | VGK | 63 | 9 | 11 | 20 | +7 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 7.5 | 11:37 |
| 2022-23 | VGK | 56 | 16 | 9 | 25 | +15 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 118 | 13.6 | 12:35 |
| 2023-24 | VGK | 39 | 6 | 2 | 8 | +3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 9.2 | 11:10 |
| 2024-25 | CAR | 43 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 48 | 8.3 | 11:44 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 456 | 62 | 56 | 118 | +17 | 220 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 702 | 8.8 | 10:38 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
4 goals and 7 assists in 43 games for 11 points, even, on 11:44 a night.
57 per cent at five-on-five, the 96th percentile, over 468 minutes. 54 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet. The role is exactly what it appears to be, and 43 games is the number that keeps recurring in his career.
The Finesse Game
Very little. 48 shots in 43 games and 4 goals, and 7 assists is not a slump — it is a description of a player who has never made plays for anybody.
He gets the puck deep and retrieves it. On this club that is a genuine contribution, and it produces a 96th-percentile chance share without a single skilled action being required.
The Physical Game
6-2 and 214, and among the heavier hitters in the league. He forechecks with real violence, wins pucks below the goal line, and forwards do not enjoy the corner he is in.
16 penalty minutes in 43 games is disciplined for the style. The problem is that the style has cost him: he has played 60 games twice in eight seasons.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick, a Cup in Vegas, and a career of being the fourth-line winger every contender wants and nobody can keep healthy.
The projection is 45 games of genuinely useful heavy hockey. Carolina has built a roster where that is affordable, which is the right way to buy this player.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 468 minutes
- Expected goals
- 57%
- 97th pct
- Shot attempts
- 60.4%
- 99th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 23 against. Expected: 22.7 and 17.2.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 55 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 315 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 468 minutes at five-on-five
- Jordan Staal55%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- CAR took 55.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 57.0% — 1.1 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 468 minutes at five-on-five — 14th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Martinook | 59.9% | 52.2% | 54.0% |
| Jordan Staal | 62.2% | 49.0% | 52.0% |
| Jaccob Slavin | 62.6% | 53.1% | 54.0% |
59.9% together, 52.2% for him apart and 54.0% for Martinook apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
81 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 7 feet. 54% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.