Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

William Carrier

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

William Carrier

Carolina Hurricanes Left Wing #28

10 and 3-quarter minutes a night, and half his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17BUF41538-1210015010.09:00
2017-18VGK37123-319000521.98:50
2018-19VGK54819-429001859.49:57
2019-20VGK7171219039001997.19:52
2020-21VGK526915016000659.210:25
2021-22VGK6391120+7340001207.511:37
2022-23VGK5616925+153000711813.612:35
2023-24VGK39628+316000659.211:10
2024-25CAR434711016001488.311:44
2025-26CAR7071118+518002808.810:45
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—5266967136+2223800137828.810:39

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 11 assists in 70 games, plus-5, at 10:45 a night. 18 penalty minutes, which is low for him.

The Finesse Game

More than the role suggests. 129 unblocked attempts with 49 per cent from inside 20 feet, median 21, and 7 goals.

He goes to the net and he takes what is there. 69 goals in 526 career games is a fourth-line rate and an honest one.

The Physical Game

6-2, 214, and this is the trade. He forechecks hard, hits everything, and has spent a decade being the man opposing defencemen do not want to retrieve a puck against.

The 18 penalty minutes are a career low and probably a coaching instruction on a club that finished 1st on the penalty kill and had no interest in testing it.

The Intangibles

56.4 per cent of the expected goals, 93rd percentile, and 59.9 per cent of the shot attempts, 98th, in 742 minutes.

He is 31, a decade in, and one of the few forwards on this roster who is genuinely heavy. Carolina’s top 6 is built out of small skilled players who shoot from close range; the fourth line is where the club keeps the men who make that possible.

In a tight series he plays more, not less.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 742 minutes

Expected goals
56.4%
94th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
59.9%
98th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 29 against. Expected: 32.7 and 25.3.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
33rd
Numbers
94th

The numbers rank him 61 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 70 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
71st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.70 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.70 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.0 mph
37th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 3 assists, 13 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 742 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
CAR took 55.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.4% — 0.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 742 minutes at five-on-five — 33rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jordan Martinook55.4%57.4%53.6%
Jordan Staal52.7%59.7%53.8%
Mark Jankowski61.1%53.4%56.2%

55.4% together, 57.4% for him apart and 53.6% for Martinook apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

129 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 8 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.