This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
William Carrier
Carolina Hurricanes Left Wing
Two hundred and four penalty minutes, a Stanley Cup, and eleven minutes a night.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | BUF | 41 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 10.0 | 9:00 |
| 2017-18 | VGK | 37 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 1.9 | 8:50 |
| 2018-19 | VGK | 54 | 8 | 1 | 9 | -4 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 85 | 9.4 | 9:57 |
| 2019-20 | VGK | 71 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 99 | 7.1 | 9:52 |
| 2020-21 | VGK | 52 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 9.2 | 10:25 |
| 2021-22 | VGK | 63 | 9 | 11 | 20 | +7 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 7.5 | 11:37 |
| 2022-23 | VGK | 56 | 16 | 9 | 25 | +15 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 118 | 13.6 | 12:35 |
| 2023-24 | VGK | 39 | 6 | 2 | 8 | +3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 9.2 | 11:10 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 413 | 58 | 49 | 107 | +17 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 654 | 8.9 | 10:32 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
6 goals and 2 assists in 39 games for Vegas — 8 points at 11:10 a night, plus-3, on 65 shots at 9.23 per cent, and 16 penalty minutes.
60.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 431 minutes, the 98th percentile. His ice went 14-11 against an expectation of 20.69-13.78 — four conceded above expectation in a fourth-line role.
The Finesse Game
65 attempts at a median of 21 feet, with 47 per cent from inside 20 and 15 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 9.23 per cent. Fifty-eight goals in 413 career games.
Two assists in thirty-nine games. He does not create, he does not carry the puck and the club does not ask — the job is to arrive first and put the puck behind the defence.
The Physical Game
6-2 and 214, and this is the entire report. He forechecks first and he hurts people, and he is among the hardest forecheckers in the league for the ice he gets.
204 penalty minutes in 413 games and he will fight. He takes liberties and he answers for them. The skating is genuinely quick for the size, which is what makes the forecheck a weapon rather than a gesture.
The Intangibles
Fifty-seventh overall in 2013 by St. Louis, a Stanley Cup with Vegas in 2023, and 413 games across eight seasons at 29, none of them longer than sixty-one.
He was signed here in the summer. A club that lost three top-nine forwards has spent part of the money on a fourth-line forechecker with a Cup ring, and on a roster whose top six is small and quick that is a coherent thought.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
60.0% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 50.1% for his club in the minutes he sat: +9.9, 99th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
“**He forechecks first and he hurts people**, and he is among the hardest forecheckers in the league for the ice he gets.”
“**He forechecks first and he hurts people**, and he is among the hardest forecheckers in the league for the ice he gets.”
“**6-2 and 214, and this is the entire report.**”
“**204 penalty minutes in 413 games** and he will fight. **He takes liberties and he answers for them.**”
“**He does not create, he does not carry the puck and the club does not ask** — the job is to arrive first and put the puck behind the defence.”
“**He does not create, he does not carry the puck and the club does not ask** — the job is to arrive first and put the puck behind the defence.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 431 minutes
- Expected goals
- 60%
- 98th pct
- Shot attempts
- 53.9%
- 85th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 11 against. Expected: 20.7 and 13.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 67 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 39 games
- Top speed
- 23.0 mph
- 87th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.92 a game
- Distance
- 1.78 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 91.7 mph
- 80th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with VGK · 431 minutes at five-on-five
- Nicolas Roy47%
- Brett Howden26%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- VGK took 51.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 60.0% — 8.8 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 431 minutes at five-on-five — 13th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Kolesar | 58.0% | 62.5% | 41.9% |
| Nicolas Roy | 64.9% | 56.7% | 47.5% |
| Brayden McNabb | 65.6% | 57.5% | 50.9% |
58.0% together, 62.5% for him apart and 41.9% for Kolesar apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Kolesar behind.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
97 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.