Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

11

Jordan Staal

Carolina Hurricanes Center

37 years old, 56 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet, and a 55.2 per cent chance share in the hardest minutes on the roster.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2006-07PIT81291342+162447413122.114:56
2007-08PIT82121628-5553041836.618:16
2008-09PIT82222749+53721316613.319:51
2009-10PIT82212849+195712119510.819:24
2010-11PIT42111930+7243049112.121:21
2011-12PIT62252550+113453014916.820:03
2012-13CAR48102131-18321011148.820:06
2013-14CAR82152540+2342121659.118:57
2014-15CAR4661824-614101926.518:33
2015-16CAR82202848+63460415113.318:18
2016-17CAR75162945-1384131649.818:40
2017-18CAR79192746-42642216011.919:15
2018-19CAR50111728+6260011219.118:17
2019-20CAR6881927+3402001256.417:30
2020-21CAR53162238+23070410315.518:29
2021-22CAR78171936+111810214611.616:38
2022-23CAR81171734+73201312413.716:16
2023-24CAR80102030-14440131238.115:23
2024-25CAR75132336+151602310712.215:26
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—1328298413711+62615462145261011.418:02

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

13 goals and 23 assists in 75 games for 36 points, plus-15, on 15:26 a night with 2 shorthanded goals.

56.0 per cent at five-on-five, the 93rd percentile, at 37, taking the defensive-zone starts against the other club’s best line. 56 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet — a median distance of 18 feet, which is the shot chart of a man who only goes to the net.

The Finesse Game

There has never been much and there is less now. 107 shots and 13 goals, and the hands are heavy in traffic.

What has not declined at all is the hockey sense. He takes away the middle of the ice better than anybody on this roster, he is still among the league’s better faceoff centres, and his positioning is why a 37-year-old with ordinary feet is still winning his minutes by nine points of chance share.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 220, and he plays a heavy, honest game that has not softened. He wins pucks below the goal line, blocks shots, and finishes checks.

16 penalty minutes over 75 games. Fifteen seasons of this and the durability has barely wavered — he has cleared 70 games in eleven of the last twelve.

The Intangibles

The captain, fourteen seasons here, and the single most reliable player in the organisation.

At 37 the projection is a shorter one every year, and the specific thing to watch is the legs — a defensive centre whose value is arriving on time has a cliff rather than a slope. Nothing in last season suggests it has started.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “he is still among the league's better faceoff centres”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “He takes away the middle of the ice better than anybody on this roster”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He wins pucks below the goal line”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “blocks shots”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “he plays a heavy, honest game that has not softened”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “The captain, fourteen seasons here, and the single most reliable player in the organisation.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 910 minutes

Expected goals
56%
94th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
60.1%
99th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 36 for, 30 against. Expected: 44.1 and 34.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
94th

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 75 games

Top speed
23.2 mph
91st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.07 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.55 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
79.8 mph
19th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 910 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CAR took 55.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.0% — 0.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 910 minutes at five-on-five — 47th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jordan Martinook56.8%50.9%54.6%
Jaccob Slavin56.0%56.0%55.6%
Brent Burns53.7%58.2%54.8%

56.8% together, 50.9% for him apart and 54.6% for Martinook apart. He was worse away from Martinook, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Martinook did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

157 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 56% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.