Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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48

Jordan Martinook

Carolina Hurricanes Left Wing

36 points at 33 and a 55.8 per cent chance share, from a winger nobody drafted to score.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15ARI8011-3000080.011:42
2015-16ARI8191524-9180121098.315:11
2016-17ARI77111425-84011210910.115:41
2017-18ARI816915-24450011125.414:01
2018-19CAR82151025+13801514610.314:29
2019-20CAR4521113-222001444.511:16
2020-21CAR444913-325001626.512:45
2021-22CAR596915+122002777.811:12
2022-23CAR82132134+7610131628.015:38
2023-24CAR82141832-1360111489.514:39
2024-25CAR79152136+161800311213.415:18
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—72095138233-25325152110898.714:16

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

15 goals and 21 assists in 79 games for 36 points, plus-16, on 15:18 a night — a career high in points at 33.

56.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 95th percentile, with on-ice goals of 38-32 against an expected 47-36. 46 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet from a median of 23, which is why 13.4 per cent conversion is sustainable.

The Finesse Game

Limited by any normal standard and used perfectly. He does not carry the puck, does not create off the rush, and does not make a difficult pass; he gets to the net, he arrives at loose pucks, and he shoots from the paint.

36 points is a career year and it is the product of a system and a role rather than any skill that arrived at 33. That is not a criticism — the whole club is built on that idea.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 208, and among the harder-working forecheckers in the league. He finishes every check, he wins pucks on the wall, and he has never been accused of taking a shift off.

18 penalty minutes over 79 games is remarkable discipline for the style, and it is the sort of thing that separates a useful physical player from an expensive one.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, eleven seasons, and an alternate captaincy on a club that values exactly what he does.

At 33 the legs are the whole projection. When the pace goes, none of the rest survives, and this is close to the last season where a career high should be expected.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He does not carry the puck, does not create off the rush, and does not make a difficult pass”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “he gets to the net, he arrives at loose pucks, and he shoots from the paint”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “6-1 and 208, and among the harder-working forecheckers in the league.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He finishes every check”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “he wins pucks on the wall”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “A second-round pick, eleven seasons, and an alternate captaincy on a club that values exactly what he does.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 980 minutes

Expected goals
56.4%
95th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
59.8%
99th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 32 against. Expected: 46.6 and 36.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
95th

The two rank him within 11 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 79 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
51st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.35 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.39 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.4 mph
47th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 980 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CAR took 55.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.4% — 0.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 980 minutes at five-on-five — 58th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jordan Staal56.8%54.6%50.9%
Jaccob Slavin56.7%56.1%55.2%
Brent Burns56.0%56.8%53.6%

56.8% together, 54.6% for him apart and 50.9% for Staal apart. Staal was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Staal than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

192 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.