Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

74

Jaccob Slavin

Carolina Hurricanes Defense

8 penalty minutes in 80 games while playing the hardest defensive assignments in the league.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CAR6321820+18000842.420:59
2016-17CAR8252934+2312010995.123:26
2017-18CAR8282230+1101011545.222:35
2018-19CAR82823310185111465.523:02
2019-20CAR6863036+30100031454.123:24
2020-21CAR5231215+2220001013.022:59
2021-22CAR7943842+35101001652.423:32
2022-23CAR7672027+1880011315.322:00
2023-24CAR8163137+2180211514.020:56
2024-25CAR8062127+1680021105.521:34
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—74555244299+1679474912864.322:27

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 21 assists in 80 games for 27 points, plus-16, on 21:34 a night — the heaviest workload on the blue line.

55.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 93rd percentile, over 1,359 minutes. His on-ice goals were 59-58 against an expected 64-51, which is seven goals of goaltending disappearing behind the best defensive defenceman in the league, and five of scoring at the other end.

8 penalty minutes across 80 games. That is the number.

The Finesse Game

The stick is the skill and it is the best in hockey. He takes pucks off attackers without contact, which is why the penalty total is what it is, and he does it at the exact moment a play is about to become dangerous.

The first pass is quick and accurate and the skating is good enough to recover from anything. 110 shots and 6 goals — there is no offensive game here beyond keeping pucks alive at the line, and 21 assists is a fair return for a man whose job is the other end.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 207, and he defends almost entirely without body contact. He boxes out in front of his own net, he does not hit, and he is essentially never out of position badly enough to need to.

8 penalty minutes in 80 games, in 1,359 five-on-five minutes against the best forwards in the league, is one of the more remarkable statistical facts in this edition.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick, ten seasons in one organisation, and a career of being the answer to “who is the best defensive defenceman alive” among people who watch closely and nobody else.

At 31 there is no visible decline. The one thing his record lacks is a Cup, and the club has now been eliminated in the conference final three times in six years.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.10 penalty minutes a game over 80, 2nd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He takes pucks off attackers without contact, which is why the penalty total is what it is, and he does it at the exact moment a play is about to become dangerous.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “The first pass is quick and accurate and the skating is good enough to recover from anything.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “He boxes out in front of his own net, he does not hit, and he is essentially never out of position badly enough to need to.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6-3 and 207, and he defends almost entirely without body contact.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,359 minutes

Expected goals
55.8%
93rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
58.1%
96th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 58 against. Expected: 64.1 and 50.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
88th
Numbers
93rd

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
24.2 mph
100th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.71 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.92 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.3 mph
80th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1359 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CAR took 55.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.8% — 0.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,359 minutes at five-on-five — 94th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brent Burns56.5%51.3%39.9%
Jordan Martinook56.7%55.2%56.1%
Jordan Staal56.0%55.6%56.0%

56.5% together, 51.3% for him apart and 39.9% for Burns apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

204 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 31 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 71% from beyond forty.