This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Warren Foegele
Los Angeles Kings Left Wing
The 97th percentile of chances in Edmonton and twelve goals of scoring that never arrived on his ice.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | CAR | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33.3 | 11:56 |
| 2018-19 | CAR | 77 | 10 | 5 | 15 | -17 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 106 | 9.4 | 12:30 |
| 2019-20 | CAR | 68 | 13 | 17 | 30 | +9 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 129 | 10.1 | 13:43 |
| 2020-21 | CAR | 53 | 10 | 10 | 20 | +4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 11.0 | 14:09 |
| 2021-22 | EDM | 82 | 12 | 14 | 26 | -9 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 142 | 8.5 | 12:37 |
| 2022-23 | EDM | 67 | 13 | 15 | 28 | +7 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 126 | 10.3 | 12:42 |
| 2023-24 | EDM | 82 | 20 | 21 | 41 | +3 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 201 | 10.0 | 13:59 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 431 | 80 | 83 | 163 | 0 | 173 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 801 | 10.0 | 13:14 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
All 82 games in Edmonton, 20 goals and 21 assists for 41 points, 1 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 47 penalty minutes, 13:59 a night and plus-3. He took 58.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,039 minutes, the 97th percentile, and his ice went 47-45 against an expectation of 59.54-41.75, all of it with the Oilers.
Twelve goals of scoring that never arrived and three more conceded than the chances called for. That is one of the largest finishing shortfalls in this edition and it is why a 97th-percentile chance share produced a plus-3.
The Finesse Game
201 shots at a median of 23 feet with 46 per cent from inside 20, converted at 10.0 per cent, which is his career rate exactly.
83 career assists in 431 games. He gets to the interior and the hands are ordinary when he arrives. Twenty goals beside Leon Draisaitl is roughly what should have happened.
The Physical Game
He forechecks hard at 6-2 and 205 and finishes his checks.
47 penalty minutes in 82 games is an ordinary rate for a man who initiates this much. He wins the wall and takes the puck to the net, which is the whole job.
The Intangibles
A third-round pick in 2014 out of Markham, seven seasons, and 163 points in 431 games. He kills penalties and has 5 career shorthanded goals.
He is 28 and has just had the best season of his career on the best line he will ever play on. Los Angeles is paying for the twenty goals and will find out how much of it was Edmonton.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,039 minutes
- Expected goals
- 58.8%
- 97th pct
- Shot attempts
- 56.5%
- 94th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 45 against. Expected: 59.5 and 41.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 39 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with EDM · 1039 minutes at five-on-five
- Evander Kaneoff the roster22%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- EDM took 56.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 58.8% — 1.9 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 1,039 minutes at five-on-five — 63rd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McLeod | 60.4% | 57.4% | 52.4% |
| Darnell Nurse | 55.0% | 61.9% | 53.2% |
| Cody Ceci | 55.9% | 60.8% | 50.1% |
60.4% together, 57.4% for him apart and 52.4% for McLeod apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
280 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.