Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

71

Tyson Foerster

Philadelphia Flyers Right Wing

Twenty goals at 22, on the 86th percentile of chances.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23PHI8347+280001520.016:34
2023-24PHI7720133303241216712.017:16
2024-25 so far
Career85231740+24041218212.617:12

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

77 games, 20 goals and 13 assists for 33 points, 4 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 32 penalty minutes, 17:16 a night and even, with 2 game-winners. He took 54.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,105 minutes, the 86th percentile, and his ice went 48-42 against an expectation of 45.32-37.23.

Three goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and five more conceded than they called for. Twenty goals in a first full season, at 22, on the fourth-best chance share among the club’s forwards.

The Finesse Game

238 attempts at a median of 29 feet with 32 per cent of them from inside twenty, 167 of those on goal, converted at 12.0 per cent against a career 12.64 across 182 shots.

The shot is the whole of the game and it is a genuine one — heavy, quick off the blade and accurate from the circles. 17 career assists in 85 games says the passing has not arrived and may not need to.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 215 and took 32 penalty minutes.

40 career penalty minutes in 85 games. He is thick through the chest and holds his ground on the wall and in front of the net, which is where four power-play goals came from on the worst power play in the league. The skating is the part that has to improve.

The Intangibles

Twenty-third overall in 2020, two seasons, 40 points in 85 games and a career plus-2 on a club that has been outscored.

Twenty goals and an 86th percentile chance share in a first full season is as good a rookie line as anything in this edition that did not come with a top-five pick attached.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,105 minutes

Expected goals
54.9%
87th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54.3%
86th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 42 against. Expected: 45.3 and 37.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
61st
Numbers
87th

The numbers rank him 26 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 437 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1105 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
PHI took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.9% — 2.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,105 minutes at five-on-five — 73rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Travis Konecny58.5%52.6%51.0%
Travis Sanheim58.4%52.8%50.6%
Cam York59.7%52.3%49.9%

58.5% together, 52.6% for him apart and 51.0% for Konecny apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

238 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.