Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

91

Vladimir Tarasenko

Detroit Red Wings Right Wing

Two hundred and ninety-three goals, 69 power-play goals, and a second Stanley Cup at 32 in a fourth-line role.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13STL3881119+1103017510.713:25
2013-14STL64212243+201650313615.415:10
2014-15STL77373673+273180626414.017:37
2015-16STL80403474+737120729213.718:38
2016-17STL82393675-11290828613.618:28
2017-18STL80333366+151760530610.819:03
2018-19STL76333568+822120527512.018:24
2019-20STL103710-201002611.516:11
2020-21STL2441014-70200656.217:25
2021-22STL75344882+73250923014.816:55
2022-23STL/NYR69183250-14831116910.716:48
2023-24OTT/FLA76233255+131230515514.815:44
2024-25 so far
Career751293336629+7419769150227912.917:16

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Seventy-six games in Florida, 23 goals and 32 assists for 55 points with 3 on the power play, 15:44 a night and plus-13. He converted 14.84 per cent of 155 shots against a career 12.86 across 2,279.

He took 47.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 993 minutes, the 36th percentile, and his ice went 43-44 against an expectation of 42.49-46.39. Fifty-five points at fifteen minutes a night on the club that won everything is the season of a man being used correctly.

The Finesse Game

The shot is still the thing. He shoots from a median of 29 feet with 31 per cent from inside 20 and the release off the rush is heavy and disguised, and 293 goals in 751 games at 12.86 per cent is what it has produced.

Sixty-nine career power-play goals from the left circle. Three hundred and thirty-six career assists; he holds the puck below the goal line at 219 pounds and finds the seam late.

The skating went years ago and it is no longer a rush game. Everything now is arriving in the right place and shooting from it.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 219 and protects the puck below the goal line, but he does not forecheck hard and does not finish checks. Twelve penalty minutes in 76 games is one of the lowest rates on this roster.

He wins the wall by weight rather than by effort, and against a defenceman who is willing he loses it.

The Intangibles

The 16th pick in 2010 out of Yaroslavl, twelve seasons, 629 points in 751 games and two Stanley Cups — one in St Louis and one in Florida at 32 in a role three lines below where he started.

Detroit has signed a 32-year-old with 293 career goals to shoot from the left circle on a power play ranked tenth. That is a sensible use of what is left.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 993 minutes

Expected goals
47.8%
37th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.3%
48th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 44 against. Expected: 42.5 and 46.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
61st
Numbers
37th

The report ranks him 24 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with OTT · 768 minutes at five-on-five

  • Tim Stützle32%
  • Drake Batherson25%
  • Shane Pinto23%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
FLA took 53.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.8% — 5.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
993 minutes at five-on-five — 56th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jakob Chychrun52.1%45.6%47.6%
Tim Stützle47.5%47.9%50.1%
Jake Sanderson45.6%48.5%54.0%

52.1% together, 45.6% for him apart and 47.6% for Chychrun apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

214 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 31% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.