Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

12

Shane Pinto

Ottawa Senators Center

Forty-one games, the second-best chance share on the club, and 27 points inside them.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21OTT12167+610000119.112:31
2021-22OTT50110200050.012:57
2022-23OTT82201535-211850215812.715:59
2023-24OTT4191827+9144011108.218:07
2024-25 so far
Career140304070-64490328410.616:12

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

41 games, 9 goals and 18 assists for 27 points, 4 on the power play, 14 penalty minutes, 18:07 a night and plus-9. He took 54.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 601 minutes, the 85th percentile and the second-best chance share on the club behind Brady Tkachuk, and his ice went 24-22 against an expectation of 28.11-23.52.

Four goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and two fewer conceded than they called for. Twenty-seven points in 41 games is the best rate he has produced and the plus-9 was the second figure on the club.

The Finesse Game

163 attempts at a median of 25 feet with 41 per cent of them from inside twenty, 110 of those on goal, converted at 8.2 per cent against a career 10.56 across 284 shots.

40 career assists in 140 games. He plays inside the dots, takes his attempts from the slot rather than the perimeter, and 9 career power-play goals in 140 games comes from standing where the rebounds land. A season two points of shooting below his own career rate is the whole of the difference between nine goals and fifteen.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 206 and took 14 penalty minutes.

44 career penalty minutes in 140 games. He is a large centre who plays a heavy game without playing a dirty one — he wins pucks below the goal line, holds his ground in front and takes almost no penalties doing it.

The Intangibles

Thirty-second overall in 2019, four seasons, 70 points in 140 games and only one of those seasons past fifty games.

He has been available for 140 games in four years and has been on the right side of the chances in almost all of them. At 23 the question about him has never been the hockey.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 601 minutes

Expected goals
54.5%
85th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.6%
82nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 22 against. Expected: 28.1 and 23.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
65th
Numbers
85th

The numbers rank him 20 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 437 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 601 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
OTT took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.5% — 5.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 601 minutes at five-on-five — 25th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brady Tkachuk56.0%51.3%54.9%
Drake Batherson52.0%57.0%47.4%
Jakob Chychrun54.3%54.5%46.4%

56.0% together, 51.3% for him apart and 54.9% for Tkachuk apart. He was worse away from Tkachuk, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Tkachuk did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

163 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.