Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

19

Drake Batherson

Ottawa Senators Right Wing

A fourth-round pick with 66 points and a career minus-71 in 309 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19OTT20369-262021816.713:25
2019-20OTT233710-1213100329.415:34
2020-21OTT56171734-17850311115.316:28
2021-22OTT46172744+43230311015.418:56
2022-23OTT82224062-353314022498.818:36
2023-24OTT82283866-94270419614.318:10
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—30990135225-711343201471612.617:35

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 28 goals and 38 assists for 66 points, 7 on the power play, 42 penalty minutes, 18:10 a night and minus-9, with 4 game-winners. He took 48.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,190 minutes, the 42nd percentile, and his ice went 51-56 against an expectation of 48.98-51.79.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and four more conceded than they called for. Twenty-eight goals and 66 points are both career highs, on the wrong side of the chances at five-on-five.

The Finesse Game

297 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 38 per cent of them from inside twenty, 196 of those on goal, converted at 14.3 per cent against a career 12.57 across 716 shots.

135 career assists in 309 games. He works the right half-wall on the power play and finds the backdoor as well as anybody on the club; 32 career power-play goals in 309 games is most of why he is employed. Fourteen and a bit per cent is above his own career rate and will not hold.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 209 and took 42 penalty minutes.

134 career penalty minutes in 309 games. He is large without playing large — he does not forecheck by contact, does not clear the front of the net and is not the man who wins a puck on the wall. The size shows up only in reach.

The Intangibles

121st overall in 2017, six seasons, 225 points in 309 games and a career minus-71.

Minus-71 in 309 games is a large negative for a man with 225 points, and a fourth-round pick who has become a 66-point winger is a real piece of scouting. Both of those are true at once.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He works the right half-wall on the power play and finds the backdoor as well as anybody on the club; 32 career power-play goals in 309 games is most of why he is employed.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,190 minutes

Expected goals
48.6%
43rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.7%
60th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 56 against. Expected: 49.0 and 51.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
31st
Numbers
43rd

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
74th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
2.29 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.95 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.4 mph
67th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1190 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
OTT took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.6% — 0.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,190 minutes at five-on-five — 82nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brady Tkachuk52.1%45.7%57.4%
Jakob Chychrun45.9%50.6%48.5%
Tim Stützle49.5%48.1%51.3%

52.1% together, 45.7% for him apart and 57.4% for Tkachuk apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Tkachuk and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

297 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 29 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.