This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Vince Dunn
Seattle Kraken Defense
Thirty-five points and the 82nd-percentile power-play workload, and the man he played 1,038 attempts beside took 51 per cent apart from him.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | STL | 75 | 5 | 19 | 24 | +1 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 138 | 3.6 | 17:14 |
| 2018-19 | STL | 78 | 12 | 23 | 35 | +14 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 150 | 8.0 | 17:32 |
| 2019-20 | STL | 71 | 9 | 14 | 23 | +15 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 138 | 6.5 | 16:16 |
| 2020-21 | STL | 43 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -8 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 8.2 | 19:15 |
| 2021-22 | SEA | 73 | 7 | 28 | 35 | -21 | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 5.8 | 20:41 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 340 | 39 | 98 | 137 | +1 | 173 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 620 | 6.3 | 18:06 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
73 games, 7 goals and 28 assists at 20:41 a night, minus-21, sixty-three penalty minutes, 121 shots. Fifty-sixth overall in 2015 by St Louis, five seasons, 340 games, 137 points. Thirty-five points ties the career high he set in St Louis in 2018-19.
The Finesse Game
1.08 even-strength points per 60 is the 67th percentile among defencemen and thirty-one per cent of his points came on the power play, off 2:13 a night at the 82nd percentile. This is the club’s power-play defenceman and he had never been anybody’s before.
4.81 shots per 60 is the 56th percentile at 5.8 per cent, from a 50-foot median with thirteen per cent from the slot. Nothing extreme.
48.3 per cent of the expected goals is the 37th percentile and 51.0 per cent of the attempts the 62nd, out of 56.2 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 145th-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts — a soft chair, and the softest of any Seattle defenceman.
The pair file is the argument. Across 1,038 five-on-five attempts with Adam Larsson the two took 44.8 per cent of the expected goals; Dunn apart from Larsson is at 51.0 across 1,255. That is a six-point improvement away from his most frequent partner and it is the same story every Kraken forward tells about the same man.
His ice went 51-62 against an expectation of 47.76-51.14.
The Physical Game
0.68 penalties drawn per 60 is the 86th percentile among defencemen against 1.07 taken at the 88th, and sixty-three penalty minutes came out of seventy-three games.
3.02 hits per 60 is the 37th percentile and 3.26 blocks the 19th at 6-0 and 200 pounds. He is in a lot of penalties and very little contact, which is a stick-fouling profile rather than a heavy one.
The Intangibles
21.9 mph is the 49th percentile, 1.3 bursts per 60 the 42nd, 8.55 miles per 60 the 57th. Three skating measurements within a whisker of the middle of the position — the flattest tracking file on this blue line.
He is 25 with 340 games and a career high in his first season out of St Louis. The power-play production, the point total and the six-point gap away from Larsson are the case for him being a genuine top-four defenceman. The penalty ledger and a 48.3 per cent chance share out of the softest chair on the blue line are the case against.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“0.68 penalties drawn per 60 is the 86th percentile among defencemen against 1.07 taken at the 88th, and sixty-three penalty minutes came out of seventy-three games.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,300 minutes
- Expected goals
- 48.3%
- 41st pct
- Shot attempts
- 51%
- 65th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 62 against. Expected: 47.8 and 51.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 26 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 73 games
- Top speed
- 21.9 mph
- 66th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.44 a game
- Distance
- 2.95 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 94.7 mph
- 67th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 90.4
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 1300 minutes at five-on-five
- Adam Larsson46%
- Carson Soucy10%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- SEA took 49.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.3% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- First pair, 1,300 minutes at five-on-five — 90th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larsson | 44.8% | 51.0% | 46.9% |
| Jordan Eberle | 48.3% | 48.3% | 50.5% |
| Alex Wennberg | 47.5% | 48.7% | 49.6% |
44.8% together, 51.0% for him apart and 46.9% for Larsson apart. He was better away from Larsson, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Larsson.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
177 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 35 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 66% from beyond forty.