Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

7

Jordan Eberle

Seattle Kraken Right Wing

Twenty-one goals and the 18th-fewest penalties drawn of 393 forwards, at 32 on a club that finished 30th.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11EDM69182543-122242515811.417:41
2011-12EDM78344276+410100418018.917:36
2012-13EDM48162137-41630313312.019:00
2013-14EDM80283765-111871420014.019:33
2014-15EDM81243963-162460218313.119:03
2015-16EDM69252247-121470417314.417:51
2016-17EDM82203151+3164002089.616:46
2017-18NYI81253459+52130718313.716:04
2018-19NYI78191837-61770516011.916:32
2019-20NYI58162440+11240113611.817:49
2020-21NYI55161733+91610212812.516:45
2021-22SEA79212344-281440216412.817:57
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—858262333595-6720060339200613.117:42

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

79 games, 21 goals and 23 assists at 17:57 a night, minus-28, fourteen penalty minutes, 164 shots. Twelve seasons, 858 games and 595 points out of a twenty-second-overall pick in 2008 by Edmonton.

The Finesse Game

Fifty-six per cent of his attempts came from the slot at a 23-foot median, and twenty-one of his forty-four points were goals.

6.94 shots per 60 is the 45th percentile at 12.8 per cent — ordinary volume, ordinary conversion, and the goals come from where he stands rather than from how often he fires.

1.75 even-strength points per 60 is the 47th percentile and twenty per cent of his points came on the power play off 2:45 a night at the 79th.

2.12 takeaways per 60 is the 81st percentile against 1.44 giveaways at the 45th — a genuinely good ledger at 32.

49.7 per cent of the expected goals and 49.4 per cent of the attempts, out of 57.8 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 102nd-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts.

The minus-28 is the worst of any Seattle skater and it is mostly not his. His ice went 47-56 against an expectation of 44.46-44.96 — eleven more goals against than the model asked, behind a crease that rated 31st in the league.

Across 695 attempts with Adam Larsson he took 44.9 per cent of the expected goals and 52.4 apart from him.

The Physical Game

2.03 hits per 60 is the 21st percentile and 1.69 blocks the 49th at 5-11 and 180 pounds.

0.30 penalties drawn per 60 is the 18th-fewest of the 393 forwards who played forty games, against 0.30 taken at the 10th percentile. Fourteen penalty minutes in seventy-nine games. He is involved in almost nothing at either end and the net is exactly zero.

The Intangibles

21.9 mph is the 21st percentile, 3.5 bursts per 60 the 26th, 9.72 miles per 60 the 56th. Two of the three below the middle at 32, and the top speed is genuinely low for a scoring winger.

He is 32 with 595 career points and has scored twenty goals in seven of twelve seasons. The slot share, the takeaways and the durability are the case. The skating is going and the club around him finished 30th, so the honest reading is a good player nearing the end of being one.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    79 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “Fifty-six per cent of his attempts came from the slot at a 23-foot median, and twenty-one of his forty-four points were goals.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “Twelve seasons, 858 games and 595 points out of a twenty-second-overall pick in 2008 by Edmonton.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,132 minutes

Expected goals
49.7%
55th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.4%
49th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 56 against. Expected: 44.5 and 45.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
63rd
Numbers
55th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 79 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
42nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.04 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.91 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.0 mph
67th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1132 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
SEA took 49.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.7% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,132 minutes at five-on-five — 80th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jared McCann49.9%49.6%51.9%
Vince Dunn48.3%50.5%48.3%
Adam Larsson44.9%52.4%46.6%

49.9% together, 49.6% for him apart and 51.9% for McCann apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

239 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.