Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Vince Dunn

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

Vince Dunn

Seattle Kraken Defense #29

44 points, minus 24, and 52 goals for against 65 expected against.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18STL7551924+1202011383.617:14
2018-19STL78122335+14453041508.017:32
2019-20STL7191423+15274011386.516:16
2020-21STL4361420-818200738.219:15
2021-22SEA7372835-21632001215.820:41
2022-23SEA81145064+28550021499.423:40
2023-24SEA59113546+8784001209.223:05
2024-25SEA62112839-3332031378.022:05
2025-26SEA81113344-24542031796.221:40
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—62386244330+103932101412057.120:09

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 33 assists in 81 games — 44 points, minus-24, at 21:40 a night with 54 penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

The best puck-moving defenceman on the club by a distance. He skates out of trouble, carries through the neutral zone, and the outlet is quick and usually right.

The shot is volume rather than threat: 240 unblocked attempts from a median of 48 feet, 4 per cent from inside 20, 11 goals. 330 points in 623 career games is a genuine offensive defenceman’s rate.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 200, and he defends with feet and stick rather than with body. 54 penalty minutes.

He is beaten in front of his own net by size and he does not clear it. The skating covers a great deal of that and not all of it.

The Intangibles

45.0 per cent of the expected goals, 14th percentile, and 45.9 per cent of the shot attempts, 18th, across 1,441 minutes — with the chances 53.3 for and 65.2 against.

That is a 13-goal deficit in expected goals in the largest workload on the blue line, and the minus-24 follows from it honestly.

No goals in his last 10. He is 29, and the argument about him is the oldest one in the sport: he creates a great deal and concedes more. Seattle’s goaltending covered 16 and a half goals more than the chances warranted last season, and without that this number is uglier still.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,441 minutes

Expected goals
45%
15th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.9%
18th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 59 against. Expected: 53.3 and 65.2.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
49th
Numbers
15th

The report ranks him 34 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 81 games

Top speed
21.6 mph
48th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.38 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.07 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.2 mph
74th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

3

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 3 assists, 26 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1441 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
SEA took 46.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.0% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,441 minutes at five-on-five — 95th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Adam Larsson44.3%48.5%46.1%
Chandler Stephenson38.4%48.5%38.6%
Matty Beniers49.6%42.8%45.6%

44.3% together, 48.5% for him apart and 46.1% for Larsson apart. He was better away from Larsson, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Larsson.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

240 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 38 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 70% from beyond forty.