Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

77

Victor Hedman

Tampa Bay Lightning Defense

Sixty-three assists at 6-7 and 33, the fourth-most of any defenceman in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2009-10TBL7441620-379000904.420:51
2010-11TBL7932326+3700001013.021:01
2011-12TBL6151823-965000826.123:06
2012-13TBL4441620+131000765.322:40
2013-14TBL75134255+5533021707.622:26
2014-15TBL59102838+12403021158.722:41
2015-16TBL78103747+21461001805.623:04
2016-17TBL79165672+3474051669.624:31
2017-18TBL77174663+32542012167.925:51
2018-19TBL70124254+24442041826.622:46
2019-20TBL66114455+27314031557.124:04
2020-21TBL5493645+5281021366.625:03
2021-22TBL82206585+26366062199.125:05
2022-23TBL7694049+10421111854.923:43
2023-24TBL78136376+18764021687.724:48
2024-25 so far
Career1052156572728+1757423112822417.023:28

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

78 games, 13 goals and 63 assists for 76 points, 4 on the power play, 76 penalty minutes, 24:48 a night and plus-18, with 2 game-winners. He took 52.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,398 minutes, the 72nd percentile, and his ice went 74-60 against an expectation of 65.81-59.84.

Eight goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and level at the other end. Sixty-three assists is the fourth-most of any defenceman in this edition and the second-most of his career, behind the 65 he had in 2021-22.

The Finesse Game

270 attempts at a median of 49 feet with 68 per cent of them from beyond forty and 10 per cent from inside twenty, 169 of those on goal, converted at 7.7 per cent against a career 6.96 across 2,241 shots.

572 career assists in 1,052 games. The first pass out of his own end is still the best on this club and probably the best he has ever thrown; sixty-three assists at 33 from a defenceman who has played more than a thousand games is not a normal season.

The Physical Game

He is 6-7 and 244 and took 76 penalty minutes.

742 career penalty minutes in 1,052 games. At 6-7 the reach takes away everything through the middle before it is thrown, and he is heavy enough to move a man out of the crease without leaving his feet — very few defencemen in this edition can do both.

The Intangibles

Second overall in 2009 by Tampa Bay, fifteen seasons, one organisation, and 728 points in 1,052 games.

A career plus-175 across fifteen seasons in one uniform. He is 33, he played twenty-four and three-quarter minutes a night, and there is no sign yet of the fall that a defenceman his age and his size usually takes.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,398 minutes

Expected goals
52.4%
71st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.8%
70th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 74 for, 60 against. Expected: 65.8 and 59.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
99th
Numbers
71st

The report ranks him 28 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 86 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1398 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TBL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.4% — 1.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,398 minutes at five-on-five — 94th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nikita Kucherov54.5%49.7%54.5%
Brayden Point54.6%49.8%50.2%
Darren Raddysh53.1%51.9%51.9%

54.5% together, 49.7% for him apart and 54.5% for Kucherov apart. He was worse away from Kucherov, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Kucherov did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

270 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 44 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 68% from beyond forty.