Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Victor Hedman

Photo by Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Victor Hedman

Tampa Bay Lightning Defense #77

1,164 games, 6-7, and 33 of them last season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2009-10TBL7441620-379000904.420:51
2010-11TBL7932326+3700001013.021:01
2011-12TBL6151823-965000826.123:06
2012-13TBL4441620+131000765.322:40
2013-14TBL75134255+5533021707.622:26
2014-15TBL59102838+12403021158.722:41
2015-16TBL78103747+21461001805.623:04
2016-17TBL79165672+3474051669.624:31
2017-18TBL77174663+32542012167.925:51
2018-19TBL70124254+24442041826.622:46
2019-20TBL66114455+27314031557.124:04
2020-21TBL5493645+5281021366.625:03
2021-22TBL82206585+26366062199.125:05
2022-23TBL7694049+10421111854.923:43
2023-24TBL78136376+18764021687.724:48
2024-25TBL79155166+18304011818.323:05
2025-26TBL3311617-110000502.018:52
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—1164172639811+1927823512924727.023:19

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 16 assists in 33 games — 17 points, minus-1, at 18:52 a night with only 10 penalty minutes. 49 games missed.

His 1,164th career game and his 811th point. 639 career assists.

He turns 36 in December.

The Finesse Game

The passing is intact and it was always the best part. 16 assists in 33 games is a 50-point pace and the outlet from his own end remains among the cleanest in the league.

The shot has gone entirely: 84 unblocked attempts from a median of 51 feet, 81 per cent from beyond 40, 1 goal. 172 goals in 1,164 games.

The Physical Game

6-7 and 244 pounds — the largest defenceman in this edition — and the reach is still the reason forwards cannot get around him when he is upright.

10 penalty minutes in 33 games. The skating has slowed a great deal and the recovery step is gone.

The Intangibles

48.0 per cent of the expected goals, 37th percentile — the worst mark of any Tampa skater — across 469 minutes, on a club where 7 players cleared the eightieth.

That is the number that matters on this page, and 49 games missed is the other one.

4 points in his last 10. He is 35, a Norris winner, a Conn Smythe winner, 2 Stanley Cups, and 17 seasons for 1 organisation. The club has already built a blue line around Moser and D’Astous that does not need him to be what he was, which is the kindest thing that could have happened.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 469 minutes

Expected goals
48%
37th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.4%
70th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 22 for, 19 against. Expected: 20.1 and 21.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
86th
Numbers
37th

The report ranks him 49 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 33 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
69th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.45 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.70 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
101.4 mph
98th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 3 assists, 17 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 469 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
TBL took 53.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.0% — 5.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
469 minutes at five-on-five — 16th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
J.J. Moser51.5%45.1%56.2%
Brandon Hagel54.5%44.4%60.1%
Jake Guentzel40.2%52.1%56.6%

51.5% together, 45.1% for him apart and 56.2% for Moser apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Moser and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

84 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 46 feet. 2% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 81% from beyond forty.