This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Nick Perbix
Tampa Bay Lightning Defense
Ten penalty minutes in 77 games, from a sixth-round pick who is 6-4.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | TBL | 69 | 5 | 15 | 20 | +11 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 111 | 4.5 | 15:24 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 77 | 2 | 22 | 24 | +8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 3.5 | 17:05 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 146 | 7 | 37 | 44 | +19 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 168 | 4.2 | 16:17 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
77 games, 2 goals and 22 assists for 24 points, none on the power play, 10 penalty minutes, 17:05 a night and plus-8, with 1 game-winner. He took 50.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,249 minutes, the 58th percentile, and his ice went 59-60 against an expectation of 49.08-47.30.
Ten goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and thirteen more conceded than they called for. The plus-8 is a positive figure from a third-pairing defenceman on a club that conceded 268 goals.
The Finesse Game
85 attempts at a median of 51 feet with 75 per cent of them from beyond forty and 6 per cent from inside twenty, 55 of those on goal, converted at 3.5 per cent against a career 4.17 across 168 shots.
Thirty-seven career assists against 7 goals in 146 games, and no power-play goals at all. The value is a clean first pass and a defenceman who does not put himself in trouble; twenty-two assists at seventeen minutes a night is more than a sixth-round pick was ever supposed to produce.
The Physical Game
He is 6-4 and 206 and took 10 penalty minutes in 77 games.
Thirty-two career penalty minutes in 146 games. Ten minutes in a 77-game season is a remarkable total for a defenceman of any size; he defends with reach and position and is almost never caught having to reach.
The Intangibles
One hundred and sixty-ninth overall in 2017 by Tampa Bay, two seasons, one organisation, and 44 points in 146 games.
A career plus-19 in 146 games. He was a sixth-round pick who reached the league at 24 and has been on the right side of the goal ledger in both of his seasons.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,249 minutes
- Expected goals
- 50.9%
- 60th pct
- Shot attempts
- 50%
- 55th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 60 against. Expected: 49.1 and 47.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 1249 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- TBL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.9% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second pair, 1,249 minutes at five-on-five — 86th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Hedman | 52.6% | 49.8% | 52.3% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 56.8% | 47.5% | 53.6% |
| Nicholas Paul | 46.1% | 52.8% | 52.5% |
52.6% together, 49.8% for him apart and 52.3% for Hedman apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
85 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 75% from beyond forty.