Brandon Hagel

36 goals, plus 34, and the 97th percentile.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2019-20	CHI	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.0	11:48
2020-21	CHI	52	9	15	24	-7	11	0	0	2	91	9.9	13:59
2021-22	CHI/TBL	77	25	19	44	-18	31	4	1	3	125	20.0	16:21
2022-23	TBL	81	30	34	64	+23	54	7	1	3	178	16.9	18:39
2023-24	TBL	82	26	49	75	+1	79	2	0	3	184	14.1	19:15
2024-25	TBL	82	35	55	90	+33	58	0	3	4	228	15.3	20:45
2025-26	TBL	71	36	38	74	+34	58	5	1	6	214	16.8	19:46
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	446	161	210	371	+66	291	18	6	21	1024	15.7	18:22

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

36 goals and 38 assists in 71 games — 74 points, plus-34, at 19:46 a night with 5 power-play goals and 58 penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

326 unblocked attempts — the most on the club — 36 goals, median 27 feet with 39 per cent from inside 20.

371 points in 446 career games, and he was a 159th overall pick whom Chicago traded at 23.

The Physical Game

6-2, 186, and he plays far heavier than that — he forechecks like a man trying to hurt somebody, kills penalties, and takes the other team’s best line every night. 58 penalty minutes.

The skating is the tool: he is among the quickest forwards in the league and the entire game is built on arriving first.

The Intangibles

59.3 per cent of the expected goals, 99th percentile, and 58.4 per cent of the shot attempts, 97th — the best figures on the club and among the best in the league — across 1,019 minutes, with the chances 60.5 to 41.6 in his favour.

That is a 15-goal edge in expected goals for 1 skater, and it came in the hardest minutes Tampa had to give.

11 points in his last 10, 5 of them goals. He is 28, and on a roster with Kucherov, Point, Guentzel and Cirelli he may be the most complete player. He is certainly the most valuable one in a 7-game series.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
59.3% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 51.4% for his club in the minutes he sat: +7.9, 98th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,019 minutes

Expected goals: 59.3%; 99th pct
Shot attempts: 58.4%; 97th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 66 for, 37 against. Expected: 60.5 and 41.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

99th

Numbers

99th

The two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 85 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 71 games

Top speed: 23.2 mph; 90th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.34 a game
Distance: 2.92 miles a game
Hardest shot: 87.6 mph; 67th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 5 goals, 6 assists, 37 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1019 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: TBL took 53.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 59.3% — 5.4 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,019 minutes at five-on-five — 62nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Anthony Cirelli	60.1%	57.6%	44.4%
Nikita Kucherov	62.0%	56.1%	53.9%
J.J. Moser	58.1%	60.0%	54.3%

60.1% together, 57.6% for him apart and 44.4% for Cirelli apart. Cirelli was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Cirelli than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

326 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 36 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.