Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Emil Heineman

Photo by Jenn G, CC BY-SA 4.0

Emil Heineman

New York Islanders Left Wing #51

22 goals and 9 assists, which is one of the strangest splits in this book.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24MTL4000+200000—9:57
2024-25MTL6210818-6203006415.611:24
2025-26NYI8222931-131840117412.616:37
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—148321749-173870123813.514:15

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

22 goals and 9 assists in all 82 games — 31 points, minus-13, at 16:37 a night with 4 power-play goals.

The Finesse Game

22 goals and 9 assists is a ratio almost nobody posts. He shoots, and when he does not shoot the play ends.

256 unblocked attempts from a median of 29 feet with only 30 per cent from inside 20 — a lot of volume from middle distance, converted at a rate that will not repeat.

The release is genuinely quick. Nothing else about the offensive game is developed.

The Physical Game

6-2, 204, and he forechecks hard and straight. 18 penalty minutes in 82 games is low for the way he plays.

The speed is real and it is what gets him to the loose puck first.

The Intangibles

48.5 per cent of the expected goals, 42nd percentile, with the goals 36-45 across 1,122 minutes — the only Islander forward whose actual goals came out level.

5 points in his last 10, 4 of them goals.

He is 24, a second-round pick, and 49 points into 148 career games. A 20-goal winger who cannot pass is a real thing and a limited one; the question is whether 9 assists is the floor or the ceiling.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,122 minutes

Expected goals
48.5%
42nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.6%
65th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 36 for, 45 against. Expected: 47.8 and 50.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
38th
Numbers
42nd

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
23.5 mph
95th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.16 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.64 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
97.3 mph
99th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

5

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 1 assists, 27 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1122 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
NYI took 48.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.5% — 0.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,122 minutes at five-on-five — 74th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Bo Horvat49.8%46.4%52.3%
Matthew Schaefer50.8%46.6%51.0%
Adam Pelech50.9%46.8%51.8%

49.8% together, 46.4% for him apart and 52.3% for Horvat apart. He was worse away from Horvat, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Horvat did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

256 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 24 of them goals. His median goal came from 27 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.