Jake Guentzel

88 points, and 59 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	PIT	40	16	17	33	+7	10	1	0	0	81	19.8	15:53
2017-18	PIT	82	22	26	48	-9	42	7	0	1	171	12.9	16:29
2018-19	PIT	82	40	36	76	+13	26	6	1	4	227	17.6	19:21
2019-20	PIT	39	20	23	43	+11	14	6	0	4	127	15.8	20:38
2020-21	PIT	56	23	34	57	+7	28	6	0	7	141	16.3	20:16
2021-22	PIT	76	40	44	84	+13	44	7	0	7	264	15.2	20:06
2022-23	PIT	78	36	37	73	+2	46	11	0	6	244	14.8	20:07
2023-24	PIT/CAR	67	30	47	77	+25	22	5	0	2	238	12.6	20:01
2024-25	TBL	80	41	39	80	+18	24	17	1	5	217	18.9	20:00
2025-26	TBL	81	38	50	88	+13	61	8	2	5	220	17.3	20:15
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	681	306	353	659	+100	317	74	4	41	1930	15.8	19:22

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

38 goals and 50 assists in 81 games — 88 points, plus-13, at 20:15 a night with 8 power-play goals and 61 penalty minutes.

His 681st career game and his 659th point. 306 career goals.

The Finesse Game

The most efficient shot chart of any high-volume scorer in this edition. 317 unblocked attempts with 59 per cent of them from inside 20 feet, a median of 16, and only 11 per cent from beyond 40 — and 36 goals.

That is nearly 400 attempts a season taken almost entirely from the slot, by a 5-11, 176-pound winger. It is the single most impressive location profile in this book.

50 assists says the rest of it.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 176 pounds, and he does his work in the most dangerous ice on the rink at that weight. 61 penalty minutes.

He is not strong and does not win battles by force. He gets to the crease by timing the play and accepts what happens when he arrives, which is why the penalty minutes are high and the games missed are not.

The Intangibles

54.2 per cent of the expected goals, 83rd percentile, and 53.3 per cent of the shot attempts, 82nd, across 1,146 minutes, with the goals level at 68-53.

12 points in his last 10, 5 of them goals.

He is 31, a third-round pick, and spent 7 years being Sidney Crosby’s winger while people argued about how much of it was Crosby. 88 points on a different club in a different conference settles that.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,146 minutes

Expected goals: 54.2%; 83rd pct
Shot attempts: 53.3%; 83rd pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 68 for, 53 against. Expected: 54.0 and 45.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

89th

Numbers

83rd

Blind

89th

The two rank him within 6 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

The same player was graded a second time from his biography and his box score alone, with the measured record withheld. That reading lands 6 points from the numbers; this one lands 6. Across the whole control the two distances come out the same, which is worth knowing in both directions: the arithmetic on both sides of the sighted reading did not buy it any accuracy, and it did not cost it any either.

All three bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 81 games

Top speed: 22.3 mph; 51st pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.22 a game
Distance: 3.11 miles a game
Hardest shot: 83.0 mph; 38th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 5 goals, 7 assists, 32 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1146 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: TBL took 53.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.2% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 1,146 minutes at five-on-five — 77th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Brayden Point	53.1%	55.2%	54.3%
J.J. Moser	55.9%	53.0%	55.3%
Darren Raddysh	57.7%	52.3%	56.3%

53.1% together, 55.2% for him apart and 54.3% for Point apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

317 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 36 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 59% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 11% from beyond forty.