Photo by Ailura, CC BY-SA 3.0 at
Erik Cernak
Tampa Bay Lightning Defense #81
Five hundred and two games, twenty-six goals, and seventy-nine per cent of his shots from beyond forty feet.
| Season | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 61 | 3 | 8 | 11 | +3 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 5.7 | 17:37 |
| Career | 502 | 26 | 94 | 120 | +96 | 441 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 660 | 3.9 | 18:53 |
Last Season
Three goals and eight assists in 61 games — 11 points, plus-three, at 17:37 a night with 74 penalty minutes. Twenty-one games missed.
The Finesse Game
None. Eighty unblocked attempts from a median of 54 feet, 79 per cent from beyond forty, thirteen per cent from inside twenty, three goals.
Twenty-six goals in 502 career games. Eight assists in 61 games is near the bottom of this edition and nobody has ever asked him for more.
The Physical Game
Six foot four and 230 pounds, and among the heaviest hitters in the league. Seventy-four penalty minutes.
He clears his crease violently, defends the front of his net better than almost anybody, and has a long injury record that comes from the way he plays.
The Intangibles
Fifty-three point two per cent of the expected goals, 78th percentile, against only 49.6 per cent of the shot attempts, 53rd, across 897 minutes — with the goals 50 for and 32 against.
That gap between chance share and attempt share is the whole argument for a defenceman of this type: the shots against come, and they come from the outside.
Two points in his last ten, both goals. He is 29, two Stanley Cups, and the sort of player whose value shows up in a seven-game series and nowhere in a scoring summary.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 897 minutes
- Expected goals
- 53.2%
- 78th pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.6%
- 53rd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 32 against. Expected: 36.4 and 32.0.
The eye and the numbers
The eye and the numbers broadly agree on him.
Recent form
Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first
2
points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 0 assists, 15 shots
Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.
Usual linemates
2025-26 · 897 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
80 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 6 feet. 13% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 79% from beyond forty.