Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

8

Tyson Barrie

Calgary Flames Defense

Three hundred and ninety-six career assists from the blue line, and a career minus-seventy-six.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12COL10000-20000150.017:39
2012-13COL3221113-1110101583.521:35
2013-14COL64132538+172040510112.918:33
2014-15COL80124153+5262001398.621:22
2015-16COL78133649-16313151727.623:12
2016-17COL7473138-34181021823.923:18
2017-18COL68144357-15227031787.922:42
2018-19COL78144559-3362022186.421:47
2019-20TOR7053439-7161001693.021:53
2020-21EDM5684048+4104021465.521:24
2021-22EDM7373441+3183001494.718:58
2022-23EDM/NSH85134255-7364011638.019:46
2023-24NSH4111415-1016000651.518:19
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—809109396505-762593212117556.221:07

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 14 assists in 41 games for Nashville — 15 points at 18:19 a night, minus-10, on 65 shots at 1.54 per cent, and 16 penalty minutes.

45.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 614 minutes, the 22nd percentile. His ice went 24-26 against an expectation of 23.87-29.11 — four goals scored above expectation and four fewer conceded.

The Finesse Game

65 attempts at a median of 50 feet, with 60 per cent from beyond 40 and 11 per cent from inside 20, converting at 1.54 per cent. One goal in forty-one games from a man with 109 in his career.

He carries the puck out of his own zone and he walks the line and holds it until a killing box commits. 396 career assists in 809 games and 32 career power-play goals — this is a power-play defenceman first and it has been for thirteen seasons.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 197, and he does not defend. He cannot clear his crease, he loses battles on the wall, and the gap control has never been the point.

16 penalty minutes in 41 games and 259 in 809 for his career is a low rate, and it is low because he is beaten cleanly.

The Intangibles

Sixty-fourth overall in 2009 by Colorado, and 809 games and 505 points at 33 across five clubs, with a career minus-76.

He was signed here in the summer. A club that lost two top-four defencemen has added a 33-year-old whose value is entirely a power play that was 17th in the league, and the honest read is that this is depth priced as depth.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “**He carries the puck out of his own zone and he walks the line and holds it until a killing box commits.** **396 career assists in 809 games and 32 career power-play goals** — this is a power-play defenceman first and it has been for thirteen seasons.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “**He carries the puck out of his own zone and he walks the line and holds it until a killing box commits.**”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “**5-11 and 197, and he does not defend.** He cannot clear his crease, he loses battles on the wall, and the gap control has never been the point.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “**5-11 and 197, and he does not defend.** He cannot clear his crease, he loses battles on the wall, and the gap control has never been the point.”

  • defensively-responsiblehe lacks it· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “**5-11 and 197, and he does not defend.** He cannot clear his crease, he loses battles on the wall, and the gap control has never been the point.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 614 minutes

Expected goals
45.1%
22nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44.1%
13th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 26 against. Expected: 23.9 and 29.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
24th
Numbers
22nd

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 41 games

Top speed
20.1 mph
7th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.05 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.72 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.2 mph
72nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with NSH · 614 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NSH took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.1% — 7.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
614 minutes at five-on-five — 26th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Filip Forsberg46.8%44.3%55.7%
Luke Evangelista44.0%45.5%60.0%
Gustav Nyquist48.5%43.8%53.1%

46.8% together, 44.3% for him apart and 55.7% for Forsberg apart. Forsberg was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

92 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 28 feet. 12% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 60% from beyond forty.