Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

59

Roman Josi

Nashville Predators Defense

Eighty-five points from the blue line at 34, and 505 career assists in 909 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12NSH5251116+114100647.818:23
2012-13NSH4851318-78101965.223:32
2013-14NSH72132740-2183021687.726:25
2014-15NSH81154055+15263042017.526:28
2015-16NSH81144761-3436131987.125:29
2016-17NSH72123749+7187012175.525:04
2017-18NSH75143953+24247032535.524:28
2018-19NSH82154156+9422042745.525:10
2019-20NSH69164965+22414012606.225:47
2020-21NSH4882533-11201031415.724:21
2021-22NSH80237396+134611022818.225:33
2022-23NSH67184159+5368052696.725:10
2023-24NSH82236285+12459052688.624:38
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—909181505686+853816313426906.724:52

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 23 goals and 62 assists for 85 points, 9 on the power play, 45 penalty minutes, 24:38 a night and plus-12. He took 54.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,560 minutes, the 84th percentile, and his ice went 82-63 against an expectation of 76.62-64.31.

Five goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and one fewer conceded than they called for. Eighty-five points is the third-best total any defenceman managed in this edition, behind Quinn Hughes and Cale Makar, and he is nearly a decade older than either.

The Finesse Game

268 shots at a median of 45 feet with 58 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 8.6 per cent against a career 6.73.

505 career assists in 909 games. He skates the puck out of his own end and up the ice himself rather than passing it, joins the rush as the fourth man, and does it at 34 in the same way he did at 24. Twenty-three goals from the blue line is the second time he has managed it.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 201 and defends with feet and stick rather than with weight.

381 career penalty minutes in 909 games at nearly twenty-five a night is a very low rate. He does not clear a crease and does not win many walls, and the defending has never been the reason to watch him.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2008 out of Bern, thirteen seasons, 909 games and 686 points, all of it for one organisation, and the captaincy since 2017. He has a Norris Trophy.

He is 34 and played 24:38 a night for eighty-two games. Nothing in last season’s numbers says the fall has begun and the club has built the next two years on that being true.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range

    10 of 214 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 4.7%, 94th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    19:01 a game at five-on-five, 90th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    63% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 99th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He skates the puck out of his own end and up the ice himself rather than passing it, joins the rush as the fourth man, and does it at 34 in the same way he did at 24.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He is 6-1 and 201 and defends with feet and stick rather than with weight.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He does not clear a crease and does not win many walls, and the defending has never been the reason to watch him.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not clear a crease and does not win many walls, and the defending has never been the reason to watch him.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “A second-round pick in 2008 out of Bern, thirteen seasons, 909 games and 686 points, all of it for one organisation, and the captaincy since 2017.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,560 minutes

Expected goals
54.4%
84th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.8%
84th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 82 for, 63 against. Expected: 76.6 and 64.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
93rd
Numbers
84th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
56th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.52 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.59 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
96.9 mph
81st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1560 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NSH took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.4% — 1.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,560 minutes at five-on-five — 99th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dante Fabbro55.0%54.0%52.6%
Filip Forsberg56.9%53.0%52.1%
Gustav Nyquist54.2%54.5%50.7%

55.0% together, 54.0% for him apart and 52.6% for Fabbro apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

372 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 37 feet. 12% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 58% from beyond forty.