This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Tyler Toffoli

30 goals on 233 shots on a club that scored 210, in the first year of a four-year contract.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2012-13	LAK	10	2	3	5	+3	2	1	0	0	20	10.0	11:59
2013-14	LAK	62	12	17	29	+21	10	1	0	5	124	9.7	12:56
2014-15	LAK	76	23	26	49	+25	37	3	5	3	200	11.5	14:35
2015-16	LAK	82	31	27	58	+35	20	9	1	4	213	14.5	17:19
2016-17	LAK	63	16	18	34	+6	22	4	0	2	165	9.7	16:35
2017-18	LAK	82	24	23	47	+9	16	6	0	6	251	9.6	16:07
2018-19	LAK	82	13	21	34	-16	23	3	0	3	226	5.8	17:13
2019-20	LAK/VAN	68	24	20	44	-1	20	5	0	4	203	11.8	16:51
2020-21	MTL	52	28	16	44	0	24	7	2	5	158	17.7	17:31
2021-22	MTL/CGY	74	20	29	49	-5	14	8	2	1	195	10.3	16:18
2022-23	CGY	82	34	39	73	+16	28	10	0	4	268	12.7	16:37
2023-24	NJD/WPG	79	33	22	55	-6	14	11	0	4	229	14.4	16:58
2024-25	SJS	78	30	24	54	-21	14	6	0	1	233	12.9	16:56
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	890	290	285	575	+66	244	74	10	42	2485	11.7	16:19

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

30 goals and 24 assists in 78 games — 54 points at 16:56 a night, with 6 power-play goals on 233 shots, converting at 12.9 per cent. Minus-21.

48.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 41st percentile. His ice went 39-53 against an expectation of 38.79-40.84, which is a forward whose results matched his chances almost exactly on the worst possession club in the league.

The Finesse Game

233 attempts at a median of 25 feet with 36 per cent from inside 20. The release is the whole player and it is among the quickest in the league — the puck is gone before a goaltender has finished moving.

24 assists in 78 games. The passing is functional and it always has been; he is a finisher who arrives at the right spot and needs somebody to find him, and on this roster he found two teenagers who could.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 205 and he does not play a physical game. He does not forecheck with force and he does not go to the wall.

14 penalty minutes in 78 games is among the lowest rates of any regular in this edition. He is disciplined, he does not retaliate, and none of the value is in that half of the game.

The Intangibles

Forty-seventh overall in 2010, a Stanley Cup with Los Angeles in 2014, and 890 games and 575 points across six organisations.

He is 33 and signed a four-year contract with San Jose in the summer of 2024, which was widely read as an asset the club intended to trade. Thirty goals makes that easier.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
78 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
48.7% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 42.6% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.1, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“He does not forecheck with force and he does not go to the wall.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not forecheck with force and he does not go to the wall.”
retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty
“He is disciplined, he does not retaliate, and none of the value is in that half of the game.”
playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“The passing is functional and it always has been; he is a finisher who arrives at the right spot and needs somebody to find him, and on this roster he found two teenagers who could.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 951 minutes

Expected goals: 48.7%; 41st pct
Shot attempts: 50.6%; 59th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 39 for, 53 against. Expected: 38.8 and 40.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

49th

Numbers

41st

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 78 games

Top speed: 21.8 mph; 31st pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.49 a game
Distance: 2.46 miles a game
Hardest shot: 86.8 mph; 57th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 951 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: SJS took 44.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.7% — 4.5 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 951 minutes at five-on-five — 54th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Macklin Celebrini	50.4%	47.0%	49.2%
William Eklund	55.1%	43.6%	46.3%
Mario Ferraro	47.5%	49.6%	46.1%

50.4% together, 47.0% for him apart and 49.2% for Celebrini apart. He was worse away from Celebrini, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Celebrini did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

299 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 30 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.