This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Macklin Celebrini
San Jose Sharks Center
63 points and 25 goals as an 18-year-old on the worst hockey team in the league, and the Calder Trophy for it.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | SJS | 70 | 25 | 38 | 63 | -31 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 236 | 10.6 | 19:47 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 70 | 25 | 38 | 63 | -31 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 236 | 10.6 | 19:47 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
25 goals and 38 assists in 70 games — 63 points at 18, at 19:47 a night, with 8 power-play goals and 4 game-winners on 236 shots, the most on the club. Minus-31.
49.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 47th percentile — dead average, on a club that was 31st in the league in chance share. His ice went 39-51 against an expectation of 42.14-42.50. Being the only line on this roster that broke even is the most impressive number in the chapter.
The Finesse Game
236 attempts at a median of 33 feet with 22 per cent from inside 20 — he shoots from range more than he will in three years, because at 18 on this roster he was rarely handed anything closer.
The skating and the hands are both high-end and the release is the thing that separates him: quick, deceptive, and he does not need to set his feet. 38 assists says the passing is already the more advanced half, and he plays a mature game in his own end for a teenager.
The Physical Game
6-0 and 190 and still filling out. He does not avoid contact, he goes to the net, and he wins more pucks on the wall than a rookie his size has any business winning.
28 penalty minutes in 70 games. He is neither an agitator nor a man who gets pushed around, and the physical development is the thing that will decide whether he is very good or something more.
The Intangibles
First overall in 2024 after a Hobey Baker season at Boston University at 17, and the Calder Trophy in his first year.
70 games and 63 points on a club that won 20 of 82. He is 19. Everything San Jose does for the next decade is downstream of him.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
49.8% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 42.0% for his club in the minutes he sat: +7.8, 97th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
- workhorse· carries the load at even strength
14:23 a game at five-on-five, 91st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
“**38 assists says the passing is already the more advanced half**, and he plays a mature game in his own end for a teenager.”
“He does not avoid contact, he goes to the net, and he wins more pucks on the wall than a rookie his size has any business winning.”
“He does not avoid contact, he goes to the net, and he wins more pucks on the wall than a rookie his size has any business winning.”
“he plays a mature game in his own end for a teenager.”
“He is neither an agitator nor a man who gets pushed around, and the physical development is the thing that will decide whether he is very good or something more.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,007 minutes
- Expected goals
- 49.8%
- 51st pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.1%
- 44th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 39 for, 51 against. Expected: 42.1 and 42.5.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 46 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 84 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 70 games
- Top speed
- 23.1 mph
- 88th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.40 a game
- Distance
- 3.31 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 89.6 mph
- 77th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 1007 minutes at five-on-five
- Will Smith32%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- SJS took 44.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.8% — 5.6 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,007 minutes at five-on-five — 62nd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Toffoli | 50.4% | 49.2% | 47.0% |
| William Eklund | 54.2% | 46.2% | 46.6% |
| Mario Ferraro | 48.2% | 50.9% | 45.8% |
50.4% together, 49.2% for him apart and 47.0% for Toffoli apart. Toffoli was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Toffoli than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
356 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 27 feet. 22% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.