Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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52

Travis Hamonic

Ottawa Senators Defense

Eight hundred and forty-one games, 755 penalty minutes, and the worst chance share on the club.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11NYI6252126+41031001184.221:34
2011-12NYI7322224+6731001241.622:26
2012-13NYI483710-828101833.622:48
2013-14NYI6931518+2682001342.225:01
2014-15NYI7152833+15851001323.821:47
2015-16NYI7251621-5350111473.423:49
2016-17NYI4931114-2160000744.020:27
2017-18CGY7411011-9790001070.920:42
2018-19CGY6971219+21330111285.520:52
2019-20CGY503912-327000833.621:12
2020-21VAN383710-339000793.819:22
2021-22VAN/OTT434610+614000824.918:51
2022-23OTT7561521-5710011364.418:34
2023-24OTT48246-1040000504.014:44
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—84152183235-1075562414773.521:05

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

48 games, 2 goals and 4 assists for 6 points, 40 penalty minutes, 14:44 a night and minus-10. He took 41.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 640 minutes, the 8th percentile and the worst share on the club, and his ice went 25-38 against an expectation of 23.18-32.29.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and six more conceded than they called for. The 8th percentile over 640 minutes at 33 is the bottom of an NHL blue line.

The Finesse Game

65 attempts at a median of 56 feet with 86 per cent of them from beyond forty and 3 per cent from inside twenty, 50 of those on goal, converted at 4.0 per cent against a career 3.52 across 1,477 shots.

A career 3.52 per cent across 1,477 shots and 52 goals in 841 games. 183 career assists is a reasonable number for fourteen seasons of a defenceman who has never been asked to make plays; the puck goes off the glass more often than up the ice.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 193 and took 40 penalty minutes.

755 career penalty minutes in 841 games. He is the one man on this blue line who will finish a check at cost to himself, clears his crease by moving people out of it, and has spent fourteen seasons being harder to play against than he is to play with.

The Intangibles

Fifty-third overall in 2008 by the Islanders, fourteen seasons, four organisations, 235 points in 841 games and a career minus-10.

He has taken more than twenty minutes a night in ten different seasons and is down to fourteen and three-quarters. At 34 the compete is intact and the feet are not.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    86.2% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 98th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is the one man on this blue line who will finish a check at cost to himself, clears his crease by moving people out of it, and has spent fourteen seasons being harder to play against than he is to play with.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “755 career penalty minutes in 841 games.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 640 minutes

Expected goals
41.8%
8th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
42.8%
7th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 38 against. Expected: 23.2 and 32.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
8th
Numbers
8th

The two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 48 games

Top speed
21.6 mph
46th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.13 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.95 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.5 mph
68th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 640 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
OTT took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.8% — 7.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
640 minutes at five-on-five — 28th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jakob Chychrun42.4%41.3%48.8%
Erik Brannstrom48.0%38.7%52.6%
Tim Stützle46.4%39.3%51.6%

42.4% together, 41.3% for him apart and 48.8% for Chychrun apart. Chychrun was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

65 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 56 feet. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 86% from beyond forty.