Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

28

Timo Meier

New Jersey Devils Right Wing

One hundred and ninety-one goals in 541 games, a career minus-65, and a minus-28 last season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17SJS34336+110001853.512:28
2017-18SJS81211536+25130421010.014:52
2018-19SJS78303666+95560225012.016:58
2019-20SJS70222749-224220219911.117:17
2020-21SJS54121931-5222001557.716:03
2021-22SJS77354176-354120832610.719:09
2022-23SJS/NJD78402666-1943170532712.219:23
2023-24NJD69282452-2845100420713.517:36
2024-25 so far
Career541191191382-6532252026175910.917:04

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

69 games, 28 goals and 24 assists for 52 points, 10 on the power play, 45 penalty minutes, 17:36 a night and minus-28. He took 48.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,011 minutes, the 45th percentile, and his ice went 43-58 against an expectation of 43.34-45.25.

Level with the chances at one end and thirteen more conceded than they called for at the other. The minus-28 is the worst on the club and almost all of it is goaltending: at the offensive end his line got exactly what it created.

The Finesse Game

207 shots at a median of 28 feet with 36 per cent from inside 20, converted at 13.5 per cent against a career 10.86.

191 career assists in 541 games, exactly level with the goals. The shot is heavy and it comes from the left circle, and he has scored thirty or more three times. He is not a playmaker and the assist total is a by-product of who he plays with.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 220 and forechecks hard, and he wins the wall against anybody.

322 career penalty minutes in 541 games is a real rate. He finishes checks, takes liberties after the whistle, and is very difficult to move off a puck in the corner.

The Intangibles

Ninth overall in 2015 out of Herisau, eight seasons across two organisations, and 382 points in 541 games at a career minus-65.

He is 28 and the career minus-65 is seven seasons of San Jose plus one of this. The forty-goal season in 2022-23 is what the contract was signed against and he has not been near it since.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,011 minutes

Expected goals
48.9%
45th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.7%
60th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 58 against. Expected: 43.3 and 45.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
45th

The report ranks him 39 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1011 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NJD took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.9% — 1.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,011 minutes at five-on-five — 59th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dawson Mercer47.2%50.0%48.8%
Kevin Bahl52.1%47.3%50.1%
John Marino50.1%48.4%49.1%

47.2% together, 50.0% for him apart and 48.8% for Mercer apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

312 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 28 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.