Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

28

Timo Meier

New Jersey Devils Right Wing

One hundred and ninety-one goals in 541 games, a career minus-65, and a minus-28 last season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17SJS34336+110001853.512:28
2017-18SJS81211536+25130421010.014:52
2018-19SJS78303666+95560225012.016:58
2019-20SJS70222749-224220219911.117:17
2020-21SJS54121931-5222001557.716:03
2021-22SJS77354176-354120832610.719:09
2022-23SJS/NJD78402666-1943170532712.219:23
2023-24NJD69282452-2845100420713.517:36
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—541191191382-6532252026175910.917:04

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

69 games, 28 goals and 24 assists for 52 points, 10 on the power play, 45 penalty minutes, 17:36 a night and minus-28. He took 48.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,011 minutes, the 45th percentile, and his ice went 43-58 against an expectation of 43.34-45.25.

Level with the chances at one end and thirteen more conceded than they called for at the other. The minus-28 is the worst on the club and almost all of it is goaltending: at the offensive end his line got exactly what it created.

The Finesse Game

207 shots at a median of 28 feet with 36 per cent from inside 20, converted at 13.5 per cent against a career 10.86.

191 career assists in 541 games, exactly level with the goals. The shot is heavy and it comes from the left circle, and he has scored thirty or more three times. He is not a playmaker and the assist total is a by-product of who he plays with.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 220 and forechecks hard, and he wins the wall against anybody.

322 career penalty minutes in 541 games is a real rate. He finishes checks, takes liberties after the whistle, and is very difficult to move off a puck in the corner.

The Intangibles

Ninth overall in 2015 out of Herisau, eight seasons across two organisations, and 382 points in 541 games at a career minus-65.

He is 28 and the career minus-65 is seven seasons of San Jose plus one of this. The forty-goal season in 2022-23 is what the contract was signed against and he has not been near it since.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-1 and 220 and forechecks hard, and he wins the wall against anybody.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He is 6-1 and 220 and forechecks hard, and he wins the wall against anybody.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He is 6-1 and 220 and forechecks hard, and he wins the wall against anybody.”

  • takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is

    “He finishes checks, takes liberties after the whistle, and is very difficult to move off a puck in the corner.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He finishes checks, takes liberties after the whistle, and is very difficult to move off a puck in the corner.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He is not a playmaker and the assist total is a by-product of who he plays with.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,011 minutes

Expected goals
48.9%
45th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.7%
60th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 58 against. Expected: 43.3 and 45.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
45th

The report ranks him 22 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 69 games

Top speed
23.3 mph
93rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.49 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.83 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.1 mph
65th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1011 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NJD took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.9% — 1.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,011 minutes at five-on-five — 59th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dawson Mercer47.2%50.0%48.8%
Kevin Bahl52.1%47.3%50.1%
John Marino50.1%48.4%49.1%

47.2% together, 50.0% for him apart and 48.8% for Mercer apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

312 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 28 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.